Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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131
FXUS64 KMAF 162019
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
319 PM CDT Sat Aug 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge will remain over the region through the week and does
not appear to be going away anytime soon.  Models do develop a cut
off low off CA coast next week but it does not look to help us much.
The low weakens as it moves east passing over the top of the ridge.
So overall expect little day to day change in wx pattern this week.

Northwest flow around the ridge has allowed a shortwave to track
down across the area today resulting in scattered showers across the
Permian basin this morning and an increase in cloud cover.  These
clouds have lingered into the afternoon and kept temps down across
most of the region with upper 90s observed closer to the Rio
Grande.  Warmer temperatures should return on Sunday with above
normal readings expected most of the week.  Nights will be warm.

Afternoon storms have developed over the mountains as day time
heating kicked in.  These will continue into the evening hours
primarily south of the Pecos river but could be a few showers/storms
across the northern half of the area.  A weak surface trough will
remain across the area and could help a little in storm development.
Will keep highest pops over the Davis Mtns... Marfa Plateau... and
northern Brewster county as afternoon storms look to be a good bet
there next several days.  Locally heavy rain will be possible
tonight and will highlight in HWO but storms are moving which should
lessen flash flood threat.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 71  93  70  95  /  20  20  20  10
BIG SPRING TX              75  95  74  97  /  20  20  20  10
CARLSBAD NM                71  97  70  92  /  30  20  20  20
DRYDEN TX                  80 100  77  98  /  20  30  30  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           73  93  72  93  /  30  30  30  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          68  87  65  83  /  30  30  30  20
HOBBS NM                   68  92  67  91  /  20  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   61  86  61  86  /  30  30  30  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    73  93  73  95  /  20  20  20  10
ODESSA TX                  74  93  73  93  /  20  20  20  10
WINK TX                    74  96  73  96  /  30  20  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

80/72

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