Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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560
FXUS64 KMAF 100447
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1047 PM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

MVFR fog is expected to develop across portions of the area
tonight, mainly affecting CNM, HOB, INK, and PEQ. MVFR stratus
may also affect HOB, thus have gone with a prevailing mention
there, and TEMPO mention at the other terminals. Improvement is
expected by mid-morning on Saturday, with VFR conditions
prevailing at all terminals thereafter. Light S/SE winds will
veer to the SW Saturday afternoon, with breezy conditions possible
toward the end of the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1020 PM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Latest sfc obs show temps approaching forecast overnight mins a
little faster than anticipated. We`ll do a quick update to lower
them a notch, but not too much, given current dewpoints. We`ll
also adjust other parameters as needed. Updates out shortly.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 210 PM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Have a weak upper trough over Eastern US today with a ridge over the
West.  Upper flow over the region becomes zonal tomorrow and stays
pretty much that way through the week.  A mid latitude trough swings
across the center of the country Wednesday but it will be next
weekend before another upper low moves ashore the West Coast.

The recent cold wx has started to give way today as a south wind
returned but clouds over the region have limited sunshine and the
warm up.  As of 20z most locations were still in the 30s with 40s
south of the Pecos river.  Sky cover should continue to break up
during the afternoon but some low clouds should return tonight
especially for SE NM.  More sunshine Saturday with a warm up as
leeside trough sets up and S/SW wind helps out... highs in the 50s
and 60s.  Even warmer Sunday as westerly wind kicks in pushing highs
into the 70s.  Could come close to reaching High Wind speeds at GDP
Sunday but expecting will not make time requirement.  Looks like a
weak backdoor front moves in early Monday before lifting out later
in the day.  Return of colder wx mid week as a stronger front blows
in Wednesday with Thursday looking like coldest day of the week.
Currently have no precipitation in the forecast with a dry week
ahead.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     30  58  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       27  65  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         30  60  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  33  65  46  77 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 35  60  42  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          26  60  39  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          27  64  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           29  57  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         30  56  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           27  61  39  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/

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