Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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192
FXUS64 KMAF 181107
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
607 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

MVFR ceilings have developed over portions of the area this morning,
the viewing of which on satellite imagery is being obstructed by
more extensive mid and high clouds.  Have included MVFR ceilings at
all area TAF sites, in addition to temporary IFR ceilings near 1 kft
until the 18/15Z to 18/18Z timeframe when they begin to lift.  Fog
development is not favored considering the extensive cloud cover so
will not include at any TAF sites.  Expect VFR conditions this
afternoon and tonight.  67

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014/

The cold front has pushed all the way to the Rio Grande this
morning aided by widespread convection across the area yesterday.
We are looking at a pretty nice day for mid July with high
temperatures 5-10 degrees below average. Low level moisture along
with easterly upslope flow should allow for convection to fire
this afternoon in the higher terrain of the Davis and Guadalupe
Mtns. The upper ridge begins to build in from the west Saturday
with warming temperatures and diminishing precip chances. Saturday
will not be all that bad yet with highs near normal, but by Sunday
into Monday the upper ridge becomes more established centering
itself over eastern NM. This will send most locations into the
triple digits with areas along the Rio Grande possibly needing a
Heat Advisory early next week. It appears that enough moisture
will be around for a few isolated storms each afternoon in the
Davis Mtns through about midweek before drier air invades from the
east. Have also kept isolated PoPs for Saturday afternoon across
SE NM as a weak upper disturbance moves south over the area.
Otherwise, expect dry and hot conditions next week as the upper
high stays in control of our weather.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 87  69  95  73  /  10  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              86  73  96  75  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                91  71  99  72  /  10  10  20  20
DRYDEN TX                  93  76  98  78  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           90  73  96  74  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          85  68  92  69  /  20  20  20  20
HOBBS NM                   87  68  94  70  /  10  10  20  20
MARFA TX                   85  61  90  62  /  30  30  20  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    87  71  95  73  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  88  72  96  74  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                    93  74 100  76  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/29

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