Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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268
FXUS64 KMAF 251711
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1211 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE LATEST AVIATION  DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND OVERNIGHT.
HAVE INCLUDED TSRA AT KCNM...BUT LEFT MENTION OUT OF THE OTHER
TERMINALS DUE TO LOW PROBABILITIES.  MVFR CEILINGS WILL DEVELOP
FRIDAY MORNING...BUT INDICATIONS ARE THESE LOWER CLOUDS WILL
REMAIN EAST OF ALL AREA TERMINALS.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015/

LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS AS SUMMER WX PATTERN
SLOWLY DEVELOPS. THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE 4 CORNERS
REGION WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND A TROUGH CENTERED OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION DEEPENS OVER THE EAST. THIS WILL PUT THE
AREA INTO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BY THE WEEKEND THAT COULD BRING
SHORTWAVES DOWN INTO THE AREA AND HELP DEVELOP RAIN.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A SLOW CLIMB THROUGH FRIDAY... MAY
SEE HIGHS PUSHING THE CENTURY MARK TOMORROW ALONG THE PECOS AND
RIO GRANDE VALLEYS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG DOWN INTO THE
AREA SATURDAY WITH THE WIND BECOMING EASTERLY/UPSLOPE SHOULD BE A
LITTLE COOLER. WARMER TEMPS RETURN NEXT WEEK BUT STAY NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL.

HAD GOOD COVERAGE OF STORMS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON... SHOULD SEE SOME STORMS OVER SAME LOCATION TODAY BUT
EXPECTING LESS COVERAGE.  ON FRIDAY MODELS SHOW NOT ONLY STORMS OVER
THE MOUNTAINS BUT ALSO STORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING
SOUTH.  THESE STORMS COULD MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN CWA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN DURING THE
EVENING... CROSSING THE PECOS OVERNIGHT AND MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
CWA SATURDAY. AFTER THAT RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO BE ON THE DECREASE
BUT NW FLOW COULD BRING SOME STORMS DOWN INTO THE CWA.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99

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