Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Next Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

182
FXUS64 KMAF 212019
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
319 PM CDT THU JUL 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and dry conditions are expected to dominate through the next
week. The southern high plains will remain under the influence of
a broad subtropical ridge (this morning centered over southwestern
Oklahoma). The forecast hinges upon forecast wobbles of this high
and whether the high will move enough north or weaken to allow for
an increase in subtropical easterlies and therefore a moderation
in temperatures. The best time period for this will be next Monday
where a combination of easterlies and moisture may be enough to
light up the elevated heat sources and the adjacent plains.  The
remainder of southeastern New Mexico and west Texas will miss out
on some badly needed rain, unfortunately.

Hard to say right now whether the subtropical easterlies will have
that much influence on temperatures or that guidance is trending
toward climatology. In any event, after highs in the mid 90s to
near 105 Friday through Sunday, highs will fall back about five
degrees. GFS MOS guidance has been doing well of late,
particularly with morning lows, so have trended toward its
solution throughout.

Cooler temperatures and an increase in rain chances will get here.
Someday. Until then...stay cool and hydrated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     75 101  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       75 102  71 103 /   0   0  10   0
Dryden                         77 102  75 103 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  74  98  73  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 71  94  71  95 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          68  99  69  98 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          58  92  61  93 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           75 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         76  99  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           75 101  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/70

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.