Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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197
FXUS64 KMAF 221936
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
236 PM CDT Wed Oct 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
An area of showers that continues from this mornings convection will lift
off to the NE out of the Permian Basin and into the Low Rolling
Plains.  Even though there is above normal moisture indicated by
this mornings sounding with PWATs at 1.20 in, the showers are not
producing any significant rainfalls. As the Pacific NW trough moves
through the area through, it will keep a chance of showers and
thunderstorms for the rest of this afternoon and into the early
evening across the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos.  Looking at radar,
some scattered cells have already developed from the Davis
Mountains northward through the Permian Basin. The passing of an upper
jet will also help to promote lift to aid in thunderstorm
development. Instability parameters, on the other hand, do not
look overly impressive. Once the upper trough passes later today, the
chances for rain will drop off. An upper ridge will then build heading
into the weekend as temperatures will climb to above normal for
this time of year.

Looking into the extended, the ridge will be flattened by an
approaching trough bringing a cold front into the area sometime
overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. Do not anticipate any
precipitation with this front, but it will bring more normal
temperatures to the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 57  81  57  82  /  10  10   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              55  81  59  85  /  10  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                54  81  53  83  /  10  10   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  59  80  61  83  /  10  10  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           57  81  59  85  /  10  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          56  76  58  77  /  10  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   54  80  54  82  /  10  10   0   0
MARFA TX                   48  76  47  78  /  10  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    54  81  58  85  /  10  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                  55  81  58  85  /  10  10   0   0
WINK TX                    54  84  56  86  /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99/06

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