Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 192338

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
538 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

See aviation discussion below.


Surface ridging will be slow to give way and as such winds will
be mostly less than 5kts thru the night. Winds turning sw by tmw
afternoon with some gusts at MAF. VFR will the rule.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 232 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015/


Temperatures today are cooler with the surface ridge impacting the
region, and highs are expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s
across most of the area.  On Friday, temperatures are expected to
warm up into the 70s across most of the CWA as southwest winds
return to the area.  Another upper trough will begin to move over
the Central Plains by Friday evening.  This trough will send colder
air southward into the CWA Friday night/Saturday morning.  Winds
will be rather strong and gusty behind this front, especially across
Guadalupe Pass where a High Wind Watch is in effect for Friday night
through early Saturday afternoon. MOS guidance is continuing to
show winds will be very strong across this area but will continue
to monitor this situation and let future shifts issue a High Wind
Warning if needed. Temperatures behind the front on Saturday will
be quite a bit cooler with highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s
expected across most of the area. Low temperatures Sunday morning
are expected to plummet into the mid 20s to lower 30s across much
of the CWA with light winds and mostly clear skies in place. This
will likely result in Freeze Warnings and Hard Freeze Warnings
being issued for much of the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos.

Upper ridging will begin to move over the region on Sunday as the
previously mentioned upper trough moves over the eastern conus.
There is a slight chance of rain Monday into Tuesday morning across
the Rio Grande, Davis Mountains, and Big Bend area as an upper level
disturbance moves over the region.  An upper trough moving over the
western conus will begin to impact the region on Wednesday with
chances for precipitation increasing across the area Wednesday
night. Rain and storm chances will increase even more on
Thanksgiving especially across eastern sections of the CWA as the
upper trough moves closer to the region. Temperatures will gradually
warm up across the area from Sunday through next Thursday with highs
on Thursday expected to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s.


TX...High Wind Watch from Friday evening through Saturday afternoon
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.


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