Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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745
FXUS64 KMAF 191541
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1041 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.UPDATE...

Update to increase PoPs and adjust high temperatures this
afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A Mesoscale Convective Vortex translating northward over eastern
Coahuila is aiding shower and thunderstorm development over the Big
Bend region this morning, with additional showers and storms forming
over the western Low Rolling Plains, eastern Permian Basin and Lower
Trans Pecos under a moist mid level shear axis.  Expect widespread
convection to persist over the Big Bend region into the Lower Trans
Pecos this afternoon.  Will send an update to increase PoPs over
these areas and lower temperatures this afternoon.  Will also add
isolated storms over southeast New Mexico and the rest of the
Permian Basin since visible satellite imagery is indicating cumulus
already developing in these areas.  The rest of the forecast looks
fine, so an update will follow shortly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     89  71  88  68 /  30  20  50  40
Carlsbad                       94  69  88  67 /  20  10  30  30
Dryden                         84  72  92  72 /  60  30  40  40
Fort Stockton                  88  69  90  66 /  30  10  40  40
Guadalupe Pass                 89  65  82  61 /  20  10  30  30
Hobbs                          90  65  83  62 /  20  20  40  30
Marfa                          83  58  85  57 /  40  20  40  40
Midland Intl Airport           91  70  88  67 /  20  10  40  30
Odessa                         92  70  88  67 /  20  10  40  30
Wink                           95  71  92  69 /  20  10  40  40

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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