Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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241
FXUS64 KMAF 301909
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
209 PM CDT Thu Oct 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
An upper ridge axis extending from the 4 corners region up across
Montana will move east the next couple of days with mild wx for the
region.  Behind this ridge an upper trough will move onto the West
Coast and bring increasing chances of rain to the area starting
late in the weekend.  By midweek the next upper ridge begins to
build in from the west as dry wx returns.

A cold front was moving through the area as of early afternoon with
a gusty north wind behind it.  As of 19z the front was just passing
through MAF.  Temps will be cooler tonight and tomorrow behind the
front.  Lows tonight will generally be in the 40s to lower 50s as
the wind comes around to the NE.  Highs tomorrow will be it the 60s
with 70s possible closer to the Rio Grande.  Unless a last minute
shower pops up... Midland will officially end the month of October
with only a trace of precipitation.  This will keep 2014 on track
for one of the 10 driest years on record.

Could see a few showers or storms tonight into tomorrow over the
Lower Trans Pecos with the front but not expecting much from this.
Models do develop some light qpf and may be enough moisture south to
work with.  A better chance of rain looks to be Sunday night through
Tuesday night with the upper trough approaching.  Models not in
agreement as to the strength of the next trough so for now will keep
chance pops as they are.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 47  65  42  66  /  10  10   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              48  67  42  65  /  10  10   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                47  67  46  70  /  10  10   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  59  71  48  69  /  30  20   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           52  66  48  72  /  10  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          46  60  44  65  /  10  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   43  65  41  65  /  10  10   0   0
MARFA TX                   46  62  39  69  /  10  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    49  66  43  67  /  10  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                  51  65  44  67  /  10  10   0   0
WINK TX                    52  68  45  72  /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

80/72

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