Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 020517

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1217 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015


Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.



Overall, VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.
The only caveat is the potential for MVFR ceilings to develop
around daybreak affecting KMAF and KFST. Currently have maintained
the TEMPO for KMAF, and have left mention out of KFST, but will
continue to monitor and reassess for the 12Z package. Otherwise,
southeast winds will continue, and could gust to around 15-20kt
Wednesday afternoon before diminishing after sunset.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 230 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

Upper ridging remains anchored over the region today with an upper
trough sitting just east over the SE half of TX. At the surface,
somewhat breezy conditions in place this afternoon as lee troughing
extends south through E NM and W TX. Expect gusts to diminish this
evening. Plenty of sunshine areawide allowing afternoon temperatures
to warm into the upper 80s and low 90s by 2pm CDT. Should see most
location reach into the low to mid 90s by the end of peak heating
today. Starting to see some cu developing near the Davis Mountains
via VIS satellite but so far it has remained quiet and rain-free.
Will keep mention of isolated storms possible through early evening
across these areas.

The upper ridge will slowly shift east through the week but continue
to maintain a fairly good grip on the region with little to no rain
chances for much of the area. The only exception may be for the
higher terrain regions to see a few isolated thunderstorms during
the afternoon hours. Temperatures will remain fairly constant and
near normal or slightly above normal with highs generally in the low
to mid 90s and lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Friday through the
weekend, SW flow aloft on the western periphery of the upper ridge
may allow for a higher chance for thunderstorms near the mountain
regions and portions of SE NM during this time. For now, will only
continue slight chance PoPs for these areas.




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