Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

146
FXUS64 KMAF 292317
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
617 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours. Light east winds
will gradually veer to the southeast by 18Z Friday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 201 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...

A cold front is currently pushing through the area resulting in
cooler temperatures than yesterday with highs today mostly ranging
from the mid 70s to mid 80s.  A large upper low is centered over
Kentucky with upper ridging over West Texas and southeast New
Mexico.

On Friday, winds become southerly again and the upper ridge remains
over the area.  A shortwave/upper level disturbance is expected to
move over Arizona and New Mexico so there is a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms across the higher terrain in the CWA
during the afternoon.  The upper level ridging over the region may
weaken a little on Saturday with shortwaves moving near/over the
area so convection will remain possible mainly across the higher
terrain.  Temperatures are expected to warm up to around normal on
Saturday.  Not much change is expected on Sunday, but an increase of
moisture across the eastern CWA may allow an isolated thunderstorm
to develop during the afternoon.  Temperatures on Sunday will likely
increase a little from the previous day.

On Monday, an upper trough will be over the Rocky Mountains so this
may increase upper lift over the far western CWA and allow for an
isolated thunderstorm to develop.  This upper trough will move over
the central conus on Tuesday and allow for a dryline to develop
across the CWA.  There will be a chance of thunderstorms developing
primarily across the Western Low Rolling Plains, eastern Permian
Basin, and Lower Trans Pecos.  A Pacific cold front will begin to
move into the area on Wednesday as the upper low passes to the east
of the area.  Then on Wednesday night/Thursday, a cold front is
expect to push into the CWA.  No precipitation is expected
Wednesday afternoon and Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     54  77  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       56  78  57  85 /  10  20  10  10
Dryden                         62  79  62  84 /   0   0  10  10
Fort Stockton                  56  76  58  84 /   0  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 55  71  55  79 /  20  20  20  20
Hobbs                          52  77  56  82 /   0  10   0  10
Marfa                          53  72  50  78 /   0  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport           54  78  59  83 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         53  78  58  83 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           55  79  59  85 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.