Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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024
FXUS64 KMAF 281841
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
141 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

The current pattern, which looks to stick around for at least
another week, offers little in the way of widespread precipitation
and keeps temperatures above normal.

An upper ridge to our west will continue to dominate our weather
with little fluctuations expected in its position. With weak low
level features, we did not see much in the way of showers or clouds
yesterday. This afternoon and evening, a surface trough along with an
area of higher theta-e resides across northwest portions of the
forecast area. These features along with strong daytime heating will
allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. Southeast
NM and the northwest Permian Basin have the best chance of seeing
any rain. Gusty winds will be possible in and near these storms
given a dry sub-cloud layer.

Not much will change Saturday with the surface trough and theta-e
axis still lingering over the same areas. However...mid level
temperatures cool a bit so expect to see afternoon highs closer to
normal tomorrow. The next several mornings look cool and comfortable
as dew points each morning drop into the 40s and 50s.

By next week, the ridge will stay anchored to our west while an
upper low develops over East Texas and stalls. Between these two
features we should see mainly dry conditions continue with
temperatures several degrees above normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  71  90  69  95  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                    69  93  67  95  /  30  20  10  10
DRYDEN TX                      71 101  72 101  /   0  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX               71  95  69  97  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              66  83  66  87  /  40  20  10  10
HOBBS NM                       66  88  65  92  /  30  10  10  10
MARFA TX                       56  85  56  88  /  20  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        71  94  69  96  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                      72  93  70  95  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                        72  96  68  98  /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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