Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 181708

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1208 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

See aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals the next 24 hours. Winds will be generally
southeast at 5 to 15 mph and gusty at times...especially this
afternoon through mid evening.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 602 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/


The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.


VFR conditions will prevail today and tonight.  Thunderstorms
could move south into the area after 19/00Z, but did not include
any mention at area terminals due to low probability.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 318 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/

Another very hot day is in store for us this afternoon before
cooler temperatures arrive early next week. An upper ridge
continues to strengthen over NM while also shifting slowly north.
Afternoon highs yesterday reached near 110 along the Rio Grande
and Pecos Rivers, and 100 to 105 elsewhere. Little change is
expected today as mid level heights slowly rise while 850 mb
temperatures cool slightly. These factors will offset each other
and temperatures this afternoon will likely be very similar to
yesterday. The Heat Advisory worked out well yesterday along and
west of the Pecos River and will go ahead with another one today
given similar conditions. Temperatures were a little cooler across
the Permian Basin, likely due to the green-up that has occurred
from the heavy rain over the past week. An isolated storm occurred
over the Big Bend Friday, but increasing heights today should keep
any convection at bay. Models are hinting at a disturbance moving
south close to the eastern areas tonight. Will keep PoPs low and
mostly confined the the Western Low Rolling Plains for now, but
this week need to be watched.

The upper ridge is forecast to flatten out across the Plains
beginning Sunday allowing for an inverted trough to move west across
TX. Unfortunately, this won`t bring widespread precipitation, but
increased moisture will lead to cooler afternoon temperatures to
start off the new week. Highs Sunday will cool about 5 to 7 degrees
from what we will see today. By Monday and Tuesday, afternoon
temperatures may have trouble reaching 90 degrees in the mountains
and parts of the Permian Basin. We could see a little better chance
for rain these two days as the inverted trough passes by, but by
midweek the core of the upper high reasserts itself over TX. This
will bring back dry conditions and the very hot temperatures.


Big Spring                     70  93  69  92 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       69  98  69  95 /   0   0   0  10
Dryden                         75  97  74  94 /   0  20  10  10
Fort Stockton                  71  95  70  92 /   0  20   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 72  91  69  88 /   0   0  10  10
Hobbs                          66  95  66  92 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          61  88  61  86 /   0  20   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           74  96  71  93 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         74  95  72  93 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           72  98  71  95 /   0   0   0  10


.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Eddy County Plains-
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Big
     Bend Area-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Guadalupe Mountains-
     Loving-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County
     and Upper Trans Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward.



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