Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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002
FXUS64 KMAF 150548
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1248 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 15/06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Extensive high-level convective debris remains over all terminals this
morning. We expect the cirrus to become scattered at or a little after
sunrise. Forecast soundings suggest that a modest LLJ (20 to 25 kts)
just off the deck will mix down after sunrise, and this will cause
winds to gust to maybe 20 kts at KHOB, KMAF, and KFST. Expect a
scattered CU field to develop around noon at most terminals, with bases
in the 9K-11K range. By mid afternoon, there is the potential for TSRA
at KCNM and maybe KHOB. However, our confidence in this scenario
is too low for us to mention in the TAFs. As new guidance becomes
available (and we get closer to mid afternoon!), our confidence
may increase. And should TSRA develop, expect gusty winds to perhaps
45 mph along with areas of blowing dust below 3 kft restricting
visibility to below 3 nm.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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