Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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043
FXUS64 KMAF 211741
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1241 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See 18Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
No significant weather is expected across southeast New Mexico
or southwest Texas through Wednesday morning. VFR conditions are
forecast for all area terminals. Winds are expected to be south
to southeast at 10 to 12 knots with some gusts expected this
afternoon into the evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 607 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2016/

AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance.

No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 317 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Summer is the season of the upper ridge and the next seven days
are no exception. The best you can hope for is to avoid having the
high pressure center overhead, which we thankfully manage to do
for the most part. High pressure will remain centered over the
four corners region through the end of the week with an
occasional wobble to the east. That will leave southwest Texas and
southeast New Mexico under a general deep easterly or southerly
flow keeping temperatures near or only slightly above normal.
About the only chance for rain will be isolated storms in the
Davis and Guadalupe Mountains.

Several models are showing an easterly wave may move into eastern
Mexico from the Gulf and move northward towards our area by the
weekend. The increase in moisture and cooler temperatures aloft
could provide enough instability for more widely scattered showers
and storms by Sunday, but easterly waves are notoriously hard to
predict so confidence in any rainfall is still low.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  96  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       72 102  70 103 /   0   0   0  10
Dryden                         73  99  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  73 100  72  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 68  94  71  97 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          69  99  69  98 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          65  92  60  95 /   0   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           72  98  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         72  98  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           74 102  74 101 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/05

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