Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

740
FXUS64 KMAF 011042
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
542 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

All southeast New Mexico and west Texas terminals will see VFR
conditions today and tonight.  Ceilings will begin to lower late
tonight though, with a few sites possibly seeing MVFR ceilings.
Will not address the lower conditions in this issuance since they`ll
occur near the end of the period.  67

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 438 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...

Chilly morning in progress across the area as sfc high pressure
to our east is in control. Temperatures have fallen into the 30s
and 40s with even colder readings to our east. Today will be cool
once again as we remain under the influence of the departing sfc
ridge and increasing high clouds.

A strong upper trough was moving ashore along the West Coast this
morning. Weak westerly flow will transition to southwesterly as
the trough approaches our area early next week. This flow will
lead to increasing upper level moisture and possibly some showers
by Sunday afternoon. Rain chances really increase late Monday into
Tuesday as a cold front moves south across the area. Confidence
remains low later in the week as models continue to struggle with
the development of an upper low to our west. The GFS remains more
progressive with the trough across our area, but the ECMWF is also
sticking to its guns as it develops a slow-moving upper low over
northern Mexico. The GFS keeps most of the precip to our east
after Tuesday while the ECMWF generates widespread QPF over most
of the region through the end of next week. Heavy rain will be
possible as PWATS increase > 1" and upper level moisture streams
north from Tropical Storm Vance. The front will also bring chilly
temps with expected highs well below normal by midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 68  50  70  55  /   0  10  10  20
BIG SPRING TX              69  53  70  59  /   0   0  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                75  50  78  53  /   0  10  20  30
DRYDEN TX                  71  51  73  58  /   0   0  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           74  53  76  57  /   0  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          69  52  73  52  /  10  20  30  30
HOBBS NM                   68  46  72  51  /   0  10  20  20
MARFA TX                   70  44  73  45  /   0  10  20  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    68  53  70  57  /   0  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  69  53  70  58  /   0  10  10  10
WINK TX                    73  52  77  56  /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/29

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
http://facebook.com/NWSMidland
http://twitter.com/NWSMidland

Check us out on the internet at:
http://weather.gov/midland

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.