Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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757
FXUS64 KMAF 041934
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
134 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Strong upper trough extending from Canada down to Northern Mexico
will move east today and bring another shot of winter wx to the
region through tonight.  A mix of rain... freezing rain... sleet...
and snow is possible through tonight.  As this trough slowly pushes
east the influence of a West Coast ridge will increase and have
improving wx through the weekend into next week.

A cold front pushing through the area today will continue on to
Mexico this evening.  Cold post frontal conditions expected tomorrow
with a cold arctic airmass in place and a NE wind across the area.
Will have widespread cloud cover over the area through tonight.
Clouds will slowly decrease on Thursday.  Temps will fall through
the night as cold air advection continues with readings falling into
the 20s for nearly all the area and may see a few teens north.

A Winter Wx Advisory is in effect this afternoon through tonight for
a mix of freezing rain... sleet... or snow.  Precip has already
begun as rain and will change over to freezing rain... sleet... and
eventually mainly snow.  Freezing rain or sleet will be the main
justification for advisory as snow amounts do not look that heavy.
Heaviest snow of 1 to 2 inches possible for portions of Southeast
NM.  Snow may fall as far south as Brewster and Presidio counties.
Have expanded the Advisory southward and it now covers all the CWA
except for the Presidio Valley.  Expect the highest precip totals
tonight across the Central Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos.
Currently the advisory runs through 12z but this may end up getting
extended a few hours mainly for the southern CWA if precip
continues.

Otherwise a High Wind Warning remains in effect tonight for the
Guadalupe Pass.  Will keep rest of the forecast mainly dry.  Except
for near the Rio Grande do not expect highs to get out of the 30s on
Thursday.  Another cold night Thursday night.  On Friday
temperatures begin to recover and should climb back into the 40s.
Highs in the 50s return Saturday with 60s seen by Sunday into next
week as finally get an extended amount of mild wx.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 20  34  22  46  /  70   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              21  33  23  45  /  70   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                23  37  22  48  /  50  10   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  28  38  29  49  /  80  10   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           23  35  25  48  /  70  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          15  32  21  42  /  40  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   19  34  21  46  /  60   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   24  37  19  47  /  60  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    22  34  23  46  /  70   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  21  34  24  45  /  70   0   0   0
WINK TX                    24  35  23  47  /  60  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 5 AM MST Thursday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Central Lea County...Eddy County
     Plains...Northern Lea County...Southern Lea County.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 5 AM MST Thursday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 6 AM CST Thursday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...Dawson...
     Ector...Gaines...Glasscock...Howard...Loving...Martin...
     Midland...Mitchell...Reagan...Reeves County and Upper Trans
     Pecos...Scurry...Upton...Ward...Winkler.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Thursday FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Big Bend Area...Davis/Apache
     Mountains Area...Guadalupe Mountains...Marfa Plateau...
     Pecos...Terrell...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until 8 AM MST Thursday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.


&&

$$

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