Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 291659

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1059 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

See aviation discussion below.


Generally IFR conditions in low clouds and fog is expected to
become MVFR ceilings by mid afternoon at the west Texas and
southeast New Mexico terminals. IFR ceilings and fog will return
early tonight due to light winds and moist ground.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1048 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015/

See public discussion below.

Updated to reduce pops significantly this afternoon based on
incoming data and latest trends. Added patchy fog for a couple
of hours this afternoon and tweaked high temperatures down a few

update products to be sent shortly.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 527 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015/

12Z TAF issuance.

The main aviation concern for the next 24 hours is low cigs/vis
affecting all terminals. Currently have a large area of fairly light
precip moving NE over the region early this morning.  Light rain may
continue much of the day then rain chances diminish by this evening.
MVFR/IFR cigs have been continuous overnight and is expected to
persist through at least this afternoon if not through the entire
day. In addition, could see vis briefly drop significantly early
this morning, improving by mid morning. Deteriorating visibilities
may return late in the TAF period but will hold off on including
mention in the forecast for now. Will continue to monitor current
trends and amend when needed.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 348 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015/

Strong upper low over UT this morning will move onto the Great
Plains Monday.  A secondary trough will dive down the backside of
the first one and swing across AZ/NM late Tuesday/early Wednesday
but should be dry.  The next upper trough will swing into the area
by Saturday and may bring a chance of rain.

Widespread showers continue early this morning from the Davis
Mountains to NE Permian Basin.  This precipitation will move east
today with most of it exiting the area by 00z.  Could see some fog
across the western counties briefly this morning... may also see the
rain mix with freezing rain generally north of a Hobbs to Colorado
City line.  However by late morning should be warm enough to expect
all precip as rain.  Will continue dry forecast tonight and
tomorrow.  The next chance of rain looks to be Saturday and Sunday
with the upper trough.

Temperatures will begin to recover today and make it back into the
40s and 50s... with 60s returning to much of the area by Tuesday.
Temperatures will remain a little below normal the rest of the week.
Lows generally in the 30s with 40s along the Rio Grande.







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