Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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625
FXUS64 KMAF 140454
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1054 PM CST Fri Jan 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Challenging flight conditions will continue the next 24 hours.
MVFR and IFR conditions in low clouds and fog are affecting all
terminals, with deterioration to LIFR expected late tonight
through much of Saturday morning for MAF, INK, HOB, and PEQ. Light
rain is expected to develop by Saturday morning for all but
possibly PEQ and FST, and while isolated thunderstorms are
possible on Saturday areawide, have not included mention at this
time. Winds will generally be E/NE around 10-15KT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 148 PM CST Fri Jan 13 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Strong cut off low over CA will move east and bring precipitation to
the region.  This low will swing across Baja on Saturday and
Northern Mexico into TX on Sunday.  By Monday the low moves into
OK/KS.  A secondary low may move near the area midweek.

A cold front moved into the area yesterday and has become stationary
near the Pecos River with cloud cover over most of the region.
Behind the front it is cold with a NE wind while much warmer and
generally a south wind ahead of it.  Lows tonight should be in the
30s north and 50s south... warms a little tomorrow to highs in the
40s north with 60s and 70s south.  This front may become focus for
future convection before slowly lifting north.  Even warmer on
Sunday.

Rain chances looking good and increasing through the weekend.
Thunderstorms enter the forecast Saturday and continue Sunday.
Will continue mention of a little mixed precip NE Permian Basin
Saturday morning but not expecting much.  On Saturday do have a
marginal risk of severe along the TX/NM border and a slight risk
severe on Sunday from ODO eastward.  Locally heavy rain will be also
possible mainly Saturday night and Sunday. Drys out early next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     33  48  42  57 /  60  60  60  80
Carlsbad                       39  49  43  54 /  40  60  70  70
Dryden                         61  72  58  69 /  50  40  50  60
Fort Stockton                  51  60  50  65 /  40  50  50  70
Guadalupe Pass                 42  55  43  48 /  30  40  70  70
Hobbs                          34  45  40  53 /  50  70  80  80
Marfa                          41  61  38  53 /  20  30  50  60
Midland Intl Airport           36  49  45  59 /  60  60  60  80
Odessa                         37  49  47  57 /  50  70  60  80
Wink                           38  52  46  59 /  40  60  70  70

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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