Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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454
FXUS64 KMAF 302318
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
618 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2014

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
VFR conditions with light southeast winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 201 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Lower surface dewpoints have materialized in areas n of I-20 favoring
warmer temps today than yesterday. Isold tstms will still be possible
this PM though across the Trans Pecos and far srn PB where low level
mstr is better. 85h temps will start to increase Sunday underneath
building 5h heights. This trend will generally continue into Tuesday.
85h and 7h temps peak on Monday, U20s-L30C and 13-15C, respectively.
Even though the PB has lost about 17 minutes of sunlight over the
last 2 weeks we won`t be able to tell it on Monday when high temps
in U90s-L100s will be fairly widespread. MAV/ECS MOS data are more
in line with the 85h temps and will side toward this warmer
guidance thru Monday. Isold tstms will continue to occur INVOF
Davis Mtns Sunday-Tuesday per steepening of the 7h-5h LR/s and
strong surface based heating. Thereafter the models are in
agreement that the mid level ridge will be n-ne of the CWFA. This
will favor a deeper ely component and the low level thermal ridge
will break down and move w signaling cooler temps from mid week
into next weekend.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

29

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