Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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524
FXUS64 KMAF 062001
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
201 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Even though se winds have returned the surface anticyclone is still
showing a presence across TX. This with weak mid level flow and
the surface trough well to the west are the main reasons temps
are not able to get any warmer than M50s thru Sat (and increased
clouds Sat). By Sat evening an initial jet max and associated shrtwv
trof will approach and move into the Trans Pecos region starting Sat
evening. Mid level lapse rates of 6.5-7 c/km do indicate isold or
embedded tstms are possible. Meanwhile NAM12 is farthest s and kicks
out initial shrtwv a little quicker. Still main mid level trof axis
remains to the w thru the day on Sunday. Trof axis will move e early
Mon AM, and cold front will follow in its wake, so colder Mon, especially
in the n-ne if precip is falling there. However there will be some
additional energy that arrives into the back side of the trof axis
across NM and re-carves the trof somewhat. This weak trof in the mid
levels will then persist into the remainder of the work week, but
dry. Temperatures will slowly warm Tue-Fri.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 28  56  36  58  /   0   0   0  20
BIG SPRING TX              28  58  39  61  /   0   0   0  30
CARLSBAD NM                28  53  36  61  /   0   0   0  20
DRYDEN TX                  36  60  42  57  /   0   0  40  40
FORT STOCKTON TX           31  55  42  54  /   0   0  20  30
GUADALUPE PASS TX          30  52  38  58  /   0   0   0  20
HOBBS NM                   25  55  34  58  /   0   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   26  56  34  59  /   0  10  20  40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    27  56  37  60  /   0   0   0  30
ODESSA TX                  28  55  38  57  /   0   0   0  20
WINK TX                    29  54  39  60  /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99/99

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