Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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561
FXUS64 KMAF 241922
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
222 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Subtropical ridge is centered across the S Plains today resulting
in a se-e mid level component which pushes the mid level theta-e
ridge axis farther w. As such the potential for convection will
decrease, even across the recently more favored areas of the
mtns/adjacent plains. This will more or less be the set-up thru
Sunday, although PoPs may tick-up slightly Sunday PM across the
mtns in assocn with some minor height falls there. Otherwise 7h
temps will remain about 14C, so the unseasonably hot wx will
persist thru the weekend. Sunday/Monday will probably be the
hottest days of this forecast when deep layer moisture will be at
a forecast period minimum. Tue/Wed the mid level ridge will weaken
and be farther n and 7h temps will be about 2C cooler than
previous days. There`s a more substantial pattern change in the
offing from next Thursday into weekend as the subtropical ridge
builds much farther to w-nw. This will provide a least a temporary
window for NW flow aloft and increased potential for storms across
the PB, along with more seasonal temperatures.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  77 101  77 102  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                    73 102  73 103  /  20  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                      77 104  77 105  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX               73 101  74 102  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              71  95  72  96  /  20  20  20  20
HOBBS NM                       72  99  72 100  /  10  10  10   0
MARFA TX                       63  93  65  94  /  30  30  30  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        75 101  76 102  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                      76 101  76 102  /  10  10   0   0
WINK TX                        76 103  76 104  /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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