Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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920
FXUS64 KMAF 191136
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
636 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 19/12Z forecast discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Quiet conditions prevail across west Texas and southeastern New
Mexico this morning.  VFR conditions are expected at all area
terminals through the next 24 hours. SSE winds of 11-14 kts
sustained with gusts to near 22 kts are possible at all terminals
except KCNM by midday, with winds lying down an hour or so after
sunset. A weak disturbance approaching from the southeast will
bring an uptick in mid/high cloudiness during the overnight
hours.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 311 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...As of 3:00 AM CDT Tuesday...Pretty mundane pattern
for the CWA this morning with no shower activity and little in
the way of clouds.

Monday (June 18) was the first day that MAF didn`t reach the 100
degree mark since June 9. Of course with a high of 99 it really
didn`t feel any cooler.

Ridging continues to be centered over the Southern Plains...with a
deep layer east to northeast flow over West Texas and Southeast
New Mexico. Latest KMAF VAD wind profile shows this flow clearly.
Ridging will remain centered over the Southern Plains north of
the CWA thru the week...continuing the deep layer mainly easterly
flow. This will result in dry weather (if not a bit muggy) along
with temps a little above normal. There could be an isolated
storm over the mtns...but have elected not to put in the forecast
for now. Best chance of convection will be over the Sacramento
Mtns. Temps should stay below the century mark across the Permian
Basin and the Low Rolling Plains and a little above 100 degrees
in the Pecos and Rio Grande River Valleys.

The ridge will edge west over the weekend bumping up the temps a
couple of degrees. High temps could top out around 100 once again
in the Permian Basin over the weekend with no precip expected.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  75  96  74 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       97  71  98  70 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                         98  76  97  73 /   0   0  10   0
Fort Stockton                  96  72  97  71 /   0   0  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 89  67  89  67 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          94  69  95  68 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          90  63  90  62 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           97  73  97  73 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                         96  74  97  74 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                          100  76 100  73 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

70/70/70

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