Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 211650

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2015

See aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected the next 24
hours at the west Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals. North
to northeast winds of 10 to 20 mph will diminish by late afternoon
and become light and variable overnight.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 916 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2015/

Updated the forecast to cancel the Wind Advisory.

Breezy conditions continue across the area this morning; however,
wind speeds have diminished below wind advisory levels for most
areas and so have cancelled the Wind Advisory that was in effect.
Clear skies may allow for weak heating this afternoon which could
cause winds to tick back up slightly but sustained winds of 30 mph
should be brief and isolated and not worthy of keeping the
advisory going.


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 502 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2015/


The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.


Gusty northerly winds will gradually diminish during the morning,
but remain gusty this afternoon before decreasing significantly
after sunset.  VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 354 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2015/

The much anticipated, strong cold front has arrived and is currently
moving through the I-10 corridor. Pressure rises behind the front
are on the order of 2-3mb/hr. This is leading to winds 25 to 35
mph with gusts near 45 mph in some locations. These winds will
continue before decreasing during the afternoon. Will continue the
Wind Advisory for the area with the day shift likely needing to
delete counties north to south as we go through the morning. The
High Wind Warning for gap winds at Guadalupe Pass also looks good.

Strong CAA will keep temperatures from rising too much this
afternoon. Expect highs to only make it into the 40`s and lower
50`s. Surface high pressure settles over the area tonight leading to
light winds, clear skies, and very cold temperatures. A hard freeze
is likely across most if not all of the CWA tonight. This will be
the first freeze/hard freeze of the season for many so will continue
the Hard Freeze Warning for these locations.

Zonal flow takes over early next week and will lead to temperatures
well above average. Conditions will remain dry across the area until
around midweek. By this time a large upper trough will begin to dig
to our west. Southwesterly flow aloft ahead of this system will
allow low level moisture to return to the area. Showers and
thunderstorms look like a good possibility Wednesday and
Thanksgiving day. Another strong cold front looks to arrive on
Friday. It is still uncertain whether precip will be out of the area
by the time temperatures fall below freezing Friday night. Continue
to monitor the forecast through the upcoming travel week as changes
are likely.


NM...Hard Freeze Warning from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM MST Sunday
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Central Lea County...Southeast
     Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ...Southern Lea County.

TX...Hard Freeze Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Sunday
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Big Bend Area...
     Valley...Reagan...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...
     Scurry...Terrell...Upton...Van Horn and Highway 54

     High Wind Warning until 2 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.



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