Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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246
FXUS64 KMAF 010541
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1141 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Lower ceilings and visibilities are moving back over the area and
will continue decreasing through the night.  Areas on the edge of
the cloud cover are starting to develop fog.  Winds will remain
light overnight and shift to the west by 12z.  A cold front with
elevated north to northeast winds will move through the area between
15z and 18z.  Ceilings and visibilities are expected to begin to
improve a little around 18z and maybe reach VFR around 21z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 224 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Water vapor depicts upper low nrn MX/Srn AZ with a couple of
discernible shrtwv trof/s in the sw flow aloft. IR satellite shows
that the colder cloud tops assocd with morning precip shield
continues to move ne. As such the chance for widespread precip has
decreased, however with said shrtwv trof/s there is still some
potential for transitory -SHRA/-TSRA for remainder of this PM and
Sun PM across the Lower Trans Pecos/BB region with the mid level
cold pool there. Meanwhile a cold front will move thru the area
Sun, passing thru areas n of I-20 before 18Z. 85h temps of 3-5C
suggest highs of 50-55 in most areas. Post-frontal breezy winds of
20g30mph can be expected. Drier air and lighter winds Mon will be
a good set up for a cold morning with a hard freeze expected. Surface
pressure falls and lee troffing Mon/Tue will result in a warming
trend, 60s by Tues. Wed a cold front is moving s thru the plains
and may just hold off to the n thru peak heating and highs will be
well into the 60s and even M70s in some areas of Trans Pecos/wrn
PB as downslope winds squeeze out a few additional degrees. Breezy
to windy in wake of front Wed night with highs in the 40s Thur PM
and noticeably warmer Fri/Sat.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

10

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