535 FXUS64 KMAF 121957 AFDMAF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 257 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013 .DISCUSSION... PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA... WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S. THE SPRING TEMPERATURE ROLLER COASTER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. A PLEASANT... BELOW NORMAL START TO THE WORK WEEK WILL END WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO NEAR 100 IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE BIG CONTROLLER OF THE ROLLER COASTER THIS SEASON HAS BEEN AN ACTIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN. TRANSLATING THIS TO THE SHORT TERM... A RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST AND A TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST... HAS NOT ALLOWED FOR MOVEMENT OF A CUTOFF LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO TODAY. THIS BLOCKING PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CUTOFF LOW WILL EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW/S MOVEMENT WILL DRAW MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEYOND MIDWEEK... ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL CREATE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 53 84 58 85 / 0 0 0 20 BIG SPRING TX 54 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 20 CARLSBAD NM 52 84 56 88 / 0 0 0 10 DRYDEN TX 58 83 61 88 / 0 10 10 20 FORT STOCKTON TX 54 83 60 87 / 0 10 10 20 GUADALUPE PASS TX 48 74 53 75 / 0 0 10 20 HOBBS NM 53 82 56 83 / 0 0 0 10 MARFA TX 46 72 51 78 / 0 20 20 30 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 54 84 59 86 / 0 0 0 20 ODESSA TX 55 84 59 86 / 0 0 0 20 WINK TX 55 85 60 88 / 0 0 0 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 13