Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 231748

1248 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2015


Please see the 18Z aviation discussion below.



VFR conditions expected across the terminals this afternoon.
Intermittent rain showers are possible this afternoon, mainly
at KFST and KPEQ and will include a TEMPO group at both
terminals. Should see some stratus develop again late tonight,
with MVFR ceilings affecting most of the terminals into the mid
morning hours Wednesday. Gusty southeast winds this afternoon
will subside early this evening, then increase again after 15Z



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2015/


Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.


MVFR ceilings have overspread the area, though have been a bit
more intermittent than previously expected, particularly for KFST.
Have gone ahead and included a scattered MVFR deck for KFST and
KPEQ through mid-morning, with broken to overcast for other area
TAF sites through late morning. By about 15-17Z, all sites should
improve to VFR for the remainder of the period. Winds will remain
elevated out of the southeast, gusting to 20 to 25kt this
afternoon, with gusts diminishing somewhat after 00Z this evening.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2015/

Upper ridge centered over the Panhandle will slowly move east as an
inverted trough move west under the ridge and across the southern
CWA today. As the week goes on the upper ridge will strengthen over
the Western U.S. and put the area into NW flow aloft.

With a persistent S to SE wind look for low level moisture to remain
elevated with dewpts in the 60s and as high as 70 at Dryden.  This
has allowed status to spread northward across the Trans Pecos and
Western Permian Basin into NM.  These low clouds should burn off before
noon as temperatures warm.  Looks like it may be a little breezy
today as winds aloft will be stronger.

Temperatures most of the week will vary little from day to day.
With higher moisture than usual will have lower high temperatures and
higher lows than normal.  Temps warm on Friday as upper ridge builds
over the area.  By Saturday a surface ridge builds south pushing a
weak front/boundary into the area with the wind becoming easterly.
Should be a few degrees cooler Saturday.

There is a good chance for storms today across the southern CWA with
some locally heavy rain possible.  Have plenty of moisture to work
with... model sounding show PW around 1.2 inches for MAF and around
1.3 inches for MRF.  Have bumped up pops slightly across the West
and added mention of moderate rainfall to the grids for today.  Most
rain chances will remain west of the Pecos next several days.  Low
pops will continue in the extended and favor the higher elevations.






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