Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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166
FXUS64 KMAF 140453
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1053 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016


.AVIATION...
06Z TAF issuance.

No major aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions
expected at all terminals. Southerly winds overnight will veer to
the northwest by morning ahead of an approaching cold front. This
front will move through most sites by mid morning, shifting winds to
the north. Gusts are not expected with this frontal passage.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 232 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Zonal flow will continue through next weekend bringing westerly to
northwesterly upper level flow and periodic weak cold fronts to
west Texas and eastern New Mexico. Our next cold front will arrive
tomorrow, with others expected on Tuesday and Friday. Dry air and
a northerly track for the supporting upper level troughs will
eliminate any chance for rainfall during this time period.
Temperatures will be around 10 to 15 degrees above normal for
highs and 5 to 10 degrees above normal for lows.

The GFS has been showing a chance for rain starting next Sunday
and now the latest ECMWF is also showing some rainfall for early
next week as well. That would be really nice to see but the 500 mb
trough appears too weak to support any significant precipitation
so am still very skeptical about rainfall. At least it will be
something to keep an eye on this upcoming week.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     45  70  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       35  73  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         43  81  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  43  76  43  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 43  64  44  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          36  69  34  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          36  70  31  66 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           43  72  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         43  72  37  70 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           38  76  34  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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