Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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264
FXUS64 KMAF 301922
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
222 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Large upper level trough across the western states will move east
to the plain states by Thursday. Surface trough is forecast to
stretch from the central Permian Basin south to the lower Trans
Pecos late today and Wednesday afternoon. Will continue to mention
isolated thunderstorms across the lower Trans Pecos and northeast
Permian Basin this evening ahead of the surface trough due to
low level convergence and or topography. A similar scenario
could take place Wednesday afternoon and early evening but
am not getting, as of yet, a strong enough signal from the
various guidance so will leave dry for now and continue to monitor
tonight. Cold front associated with the aforementioned upper
trough will move through the forecast area Thursday dropping
high temperatures back several degrees to more normal values.
Will continue dry forecast Thursday due to the better upper
forcing and convergence remaining north and east of the region.

Beyond Thursday a dry northwesterly aloft regime is forecast
to be in place with temperatures near or slightly above normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 64  91  62  83  /  10  10  10   0
BIG SPRING TX              66  93  67  85  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                58  92  59  83  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  69  96  69  93  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           65  95  65  88  /  10  10  10   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          55  82  57  76  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   58  88  58  80  /  10   0  10   0
MARFA TX                   54  87  57  80  /  10  10  10   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    66  93  65  86  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  67  93  65  84  /  10  10  10   0
WINK TX                    65  95  63  88  /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

72/12

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