103 FXUS64 KMAF 121058 AFDMAF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 558 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013 .DISCUSSION... SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WITH ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF ALL THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH BY MID TO LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. 12 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/ DISCUSSION... A REX BLOCK PATTERN WILL AFFECT THE AREA THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS AN UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO UNDERCUTS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE BIG BEND WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE LOW...THOUGH A SHEARED OUT TROUGH OVER WEST TEXAS WILL ALLOW FOR AFTERNOON CUMULUS AND PERHAPS A FEW ROGUE LIGHT SHOWERS. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND COVER MUCH OF THE CWA AS THE UPPER LOW FINALLY EJECTS EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST TEXAS. ENJOY THE FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD BECAUSE THE SECOND HALF WILL BE A REMINDER THAT SUMMER IS CLOSER THAN WINTER. ZONAL FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO SOAR ABOVE NORMAL THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS EASILY IN THE 90S WITH SOME 100 DEGREE READINGS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. HENNIG && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 79 53 83 58 / 10 0 0 0 BIG SPRING TX 79 54 85 60 / 10 0 0 0 CARLSBAD NM 80 52 84 56 / 10 0 0 0 DRYDEN TX 80 58 82 61 / 10 0 10 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 77 54 82 60 / 10 0 10 10 GUADALUPE PASS TX 69 48 74 53 / 10 0 0 10 HOBBS NM 77 53 82 56 / 10 0 0 0 MARFA TX 68 46 73 51 / 10 0 20 20 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 79 54 83 59 / 10 0 0 0 ODESSA TX 79 55 83 59 / 10 0 0 0 WINK TX 80 55 84 60 / 10 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 12/10