Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 201730

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1230 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016


See the 18z aviation discussion below.



Winds will be elevated with some occasional gusts out of the south
to southeast this afternoon. Winds will increase slightly around
00z then begin decreasing around 09z. Low ceilings will begin
developing around 09z and last until around 16z. Winds are
expected to be fairly light out of the south to southwest Saturday


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 500 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016/

Updated to add fog to first period.

Patchy fog continues to develop across the Permian Basin so have
updated to add mention of it this morning. Wide variance of
visibilities so have not issued a Dense Fog Advisory but will
continue to monitor.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 336 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016/

Will begin the day with an upper ridge over the area with an upper
low over Nrn CA.  This low will slowly wobble east as multiple lobes
rotate in behind it.  Even though most of the energy stays well
to the north this will put the region into SW flow aloft.

Still pretty moist this morning with dewpts in the 50s back to the
mountains... some stratus developing.  Some light fog has developed
along the TX/NM border under clear skies and light wind... not
expecting it to become dense but will continue to monitor it.  The
wind should remain out of the south today keeping moisture in the
area.  Dewpoints are actually expected to climb into the 60s
Saturday.  Leeside trough develops Saturday... west of the trough
the wind will have more of a SW component helping with the
development of a dryline.

Will have a little break from the recent wet wx today but will go
ahead and throw mention of isolated storms over the Davis Mtns this
afternoon.  Plan on increasing pops Saturday and Saturday night as
dryline ahead of trough will stay back to the west of MAF/ODO...
closer to INK.  Precip will shift east Sunday.  After that only low
pops the rest of the week.  On Saturday the slight risk is over the
Panhandle and just barely comes down to the northern CWA... while on
Sunday the eastern CWA is in a slight risk with supercell storms
possible as the dryline stays around.

Will have more sun than has been seen in days as temps climb into
the 80s and 90s today.  By early next week some locations along the
Rio Grande may reach the triple digits.


Big Spring                     85  64  87  67 /  10   0  10  30
Carlsbad                       89  59  93  58 /   0  10  20  10
Dryden                         85  68  89  71 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  89  65  91  68 /   0  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 83  60  83  57 /   0   0  10  10
Hobbs                          84  60  88  61 /   0   0  20  30
Marfa                          83  50  86  51 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           86  65  89  68 /   0   0  10  30
Odessa                         85  65  89  68 /   0   0  10  30
Wink                           89  64  92  65 /   0   0  20  20


.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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