Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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345
FXUS64 KMAF 191657
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1157 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all area terminals this afternoon,
although KFST could be affected by TSRA.  MVFR, if not IFR, ceilings
could form late tonight and have included these at KMAF then. A cold
front will move south through area Saturday morning with gusty winds
behind it.  More showers and thunderstorms will form along and
behind the front Saturday, but will likely occur beyond 20/18Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1041 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016/

A Mesoscale Convective Vortex translating northward over eastern
Coahuila is aiding shower and thunderstorm development over the
Big Bend region this morning, with additional showers and storms
forming over the western Low Rolling Plains, eastern Permian Basin
and Lower Trans Pecos under a moist mid level shear axis. Expect
widespread convection to persist over the Big Bend region into the
Lower Trans Pecos this afternoon. Will send an update to increase
PoPs over these areas and lower temperatures this afternoon. Will
also add isolated storms over southeast New Mexico and the rest of
the Permian Basin since visible satellite imagery is indicating
cumulus already developing in these areas. The rest of the
forecast looks fine, so an update will follow shortly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     89  71  88  68 /  30  20  50  40
Carlsbad                       94  69  88  67 /  20  10  30  30
Dryden                         84  72  92  72 /  60  30  40  40
Fort Stockton                  88  69  90  66 /  30  10  40  40
Guadalupe Pass                 89  65  82  61 /  20  10  30  30
Hobbs                          90  65  83  62 /  20  20  40  30
Marfa                          83  58  85  57 /  40  20  40  40
Midland Intl Airport           91  70  88  67 /  20  10  40  30
Odessa                         92  70  88  67 /  20  10  40  30
Wink                           95  71  92  69 /  20  10  40  40

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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