Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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520
FXUS64 KMAF 230901
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
401 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge centered over the Panhandle will slowly move east as an
inverted trough move west under the ridge and across the southern
CWA today. As the week goes on the upper ridge will strengthen over
the Western U.S. and put the area into NW flow aloft.

With a persistent S to SE wind look for low level moisture to remain
elevated with dewpts in the 60s and as high as 70 at Dryden.  This
has allowed status to spread northward across the Trans Pecos and
Western Permian Basin into NM.  These low clouds should burn off before
noon as temperatures warm.  Looks like it may be a little breezy
today as winds aloft will be stronger.

Temperatures most of the week will vary little from day to day.
With higher moisture than usual will have lower high temperatures and
higher lows than normal.  Temps warm on Friday as upper ridge builds
over the area.  By Saturday a surface ridge builds south pushing a
weak front/boundary into the area with the wind becoming easterly.
Should be a few degrees cooler Saturday.

There is a good chance for storms today across the southern CWA with
some locally heavy rain possible.  Have plenty of moisture to work
with... model sounding show PW around 1.2 inches for MAF and around
1.3 inches for MRF.  Have bumped up pops slightly across the West
and added mention of moderate rainfall to the grids for today.  Most
rain chances will remain west of the Pecos next several days.  Low
pops will continue in the extended and favor the higher elevations.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 89  68  89  69  /   0   0   0  10
BIG SPRING TX              91  71  92  72  /   0   0   0  10
CARLSBAD NM                88  68  90  68  /  10  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  89  73  90  72  /  30  30  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           88  69  89  69  /  20  20  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          80  64  80  64  /  20  10  30  30
HOBBS NM                   88  66  89  66  /   0   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   81  61  82  60  /  40  20  40  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    90  70  90  70  /  10  10   0  10
ODESSA TX                  89  70  89  71  /  10  10   0  10
WINK TX                    92  71  93  71  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

84/72

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