Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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533
FXUS64 KMAF 271053
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
553 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all area terminals today, but some
could be affected by thunderstorms this afternoon. Due to low
probability will not make mention this issuance.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 326 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/

Look for another day of scattered showers and thunderstorms
bringing locally heavy rainfall to portions of the area.

For the third night in a row an outflow boundary is moving south
across SE NM and parts of the Permian Basin. This along with several
other leftover boundaries will likely play a role in the location
of convection this afternoon. Weak southwesterly flow aloft will
continue due to an upper level trough developing to our west and a
large subtropical ridge over the SE U.S. A plume of mid level
moisture along with periodic disturbances will stream across the
area within this flow. Showers and thunderstorms are again
expected to develop early this afternoon as convective
temperatures are reached within an unstable, uncapped environment.
Some of these storms will contain heavy rain given PWATs +1 to +2
SD and training of cells over the same locations.

Expect a repeat each day into early next week as the overall pattern
remains the same. Monday and Tuesday currently look to have the
best chance of rain as moisture rounds an upper low that will set
up over S. TX. Clouds and moisture will continue to keep
temperatures below normal through at least the middle of next
week. Models then indicate a weak upper ridge building with drier
and warmer conditions late next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     89  70  89  69 /  30  20  30  20
Carlsbad                       88  67  87  66 /  30  20  40  40
Dryden                         91  72  92  72 /  30  10  20  20
Fort Stockton                  88  68  89  67 /  30  20  30  30
Guadalupe Pass                 80  63  79  62 /  40  30  40  40
Hobbs                          84  65  84  64 /  30  20  30  40
Marfa                          80  61  80  62 /  40  20  30  40
Midland Intl Airport           89  69  88  68 /  30  20  30  30
Odessa                         89  70  88  69 /  30  20  30  30
Wink                           90  69  89  68 /  30  20  30  40

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

67/29

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