Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 231648

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1048 AM CST MON NOV 23 2015

See aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions with some high clouds is expected the next 24 hours
at the west Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals. Winds will
generally be less than 10 mph.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 452 AM CST MON NOV 23 2015/


The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.


VFR conditions will prevail at all area terminals throughout the
next 24 hours.  Only high clouds and southerly winds around 10-15kt
are expected.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 413 AM CST MON NOV 23 2015/

A busy weather (and travel) week is ahead with warm and dry
conditions transitioning late week to much colder with wintry
precipitation possible.

Zonal mid level flow will bring warmer conditions over the next
several days. Expect very similar conditions today to what we saw
yesterday with highs warming into the 60`s under mostly sunny skies.
Downsloping, southwesterly winds on Tuesday will bring even warmer
conditions with most locations making it into the 70`s. Mid and
upper level flow becomes southwesterly on Wednesday as an upper
trough moves east across the western U.S. Lift and moisture will
increase ahead of this system with showers and thunderstorms
developing late Wednesday continuing into Thanksgiving day.
Instability and shear currently appear too weak to support severe

An Arctic cold front is set to arrive Friday morning with
temperatures likely falling during the day. Models disagree with
the extent of the cold air as is usual with this type of airmass.
Unfortunately the difference in temperature will decide whether we
see freezing rain/sleet or just rain. It does look like a
substantial warm layer will keep snow out of the forecast. We will
keep the current forecast conservative with temperatures near
freezing and await better model agreement. Several disturbances
will move across the region within the SW flow aloft as the upper
trough slowly moves east and weakens. With the amount of QPF
being produced by the models, below freezing temperatures would
present some travel problems during the upcoming travel weekend.
The forecast will continue to be refined as we get closer to the
weekend so stay tuned!





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