Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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596
FXUS64 KMAF 021859
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
159 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Tranquil wx is expected overnight as light a se wind returns with
a surface high just off to the e by 12Z Tue. Tue PM a shrtwv trof
will drop swd thru the Panhandle/wrn OK with some precip along the
leading edge of trough axis. Precip is mostly expected to
dissipate before entering nrn CWFA, but have included low order
PoPs across the n-ne. A bit of a secondary surge of surface high
pressure will move in thru Wed AM and light winds will continue.
Temps will slowly moderate back into the 80s by Wed. Thickness
will continue to rise into Thur PM as an amplified mid level ridge
moves into the area aiding the return of above normal temps. Also
gusty se winds will return to most areas Thur with development of
surface trof to the w. Meanwhile a closed upper low will move
into SOCAL by Fri AM. Said se surface flow will attempt to bring
low level moisture into the CWFA Fri PM, but will probably not get
established until after peak heating. 7h-5h LR/s will be very
steep and we would not be surprised to see a few high based TSRA
develop in far SW reaches of CWFA Fri PM. The better chance for
storms appears to be Sat when moisture is better along with
falling heights (cooling mid levels). Storms are possible Sunday
too per ECMWF. Fri/Sat could be hot across parts of the Trans
Pecos/SE NM with 85h temps U20C-30C.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     46  76  51  81 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       45  80  50  82 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         52  79  56  85 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  50  79  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 47  74  52  76 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          44  77  47  79 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          37  76  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           47  79  53  83 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                         48  79  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           48  82  53  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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