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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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Product Version: 2013-05-20 01:17:19 2013-05-19 22:55:06 2013-05-19 19:31:43 2013-05-19 17:41:40 2013-05-19 11:17:15 2013-05-19 08:20:02 2013-05-19 05:32:59 2013-05-18 22:46:41 2013-05-18 19:47:26 2013-05-18 17:13:04 2013-05-18 11:23:36 2013-05-18 08:59:52 2013-05-18 05:30:29 2013-05-17 22:47:42 2013-05-17 19:30:23 2013-05-17 17:29:00 2013-05-17 11:16:57 2013-05-17 09:26:40 2013-05-17 05:19:42 2013-05-16 23:10:32 2013-05-16 19:45:39 2013-05-16 17:38:43 2013-05-16 11:25:05 2013-05-16 09:43:33 2013-05-16 05:17:52 2013-05-15 23:12:21 2013-05-15 19:34:12 2013-05-15 16:12:08 2013-05-15 11:27:46 2013-05-15 09:37:33 2013-05-15 05:34:19 2013-05-14 23:22:37 2013-05-14 19:30:44 2013-05-14 17:53:00 2013-05-14 11:02:09 2013-05-14 07:59:20 2013-05-14 05:10:40 2013-05-13 23:30:42 2013-05-13 19:35:00 2013-05-13 17:40:03 2013-05-13 10:55:50 2013-05-13 08:37:22 2013-05-13 04:53:18 ALL   

757
FXUS64 KMAF 130453
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1153 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL INCREASE
TO 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY BY MID MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH BASED CUMULUS
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON.

12

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 257 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA... WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S. THE SPRING
TEMPERATURE ROLLER COASTER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. A PLEASANT...
BELOW NORMAL START TO THE WORK WEEK WILL END WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 90S TO NEAR 100 IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE BIG CONTROLLER OF THE
ROLLER COASTER THIS SEASON HAS BEEN AN ACTIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN.
TRANSLATING THIS TO THE SHORT TERM... A RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST
AND A TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST... HAS NOT ALLOWED FOR MOVEMENT
OF A CUTOFF LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO TODAY. THIS
BLOCKING PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE CUTOFF LOW WILL EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW/S MOVEMENT WILL
DRAW MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS TUESDAY INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEYOND MIDWEEK... ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
CREATE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 53  84  58  85  /   0   0   0  20
BIG SPRING TX              54  85  60  86  /   0   0   0  20
CARLSBAD NM                52  84  56  88  /   0   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                  58  83  61  88  /   0  10  10  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           54  83  60  87  /   0  10  10  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          48  74  53  75  /   0   0  10  20
HOBBS NM                   53  82  56  83  /   0   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   46  72  51  78  /   0  20  20  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    54  84  59  86  /   0   0   0  20
ODESSA TX                  55  84  59  86  /   0   0   0  20
WINK TX                    55  85  60  88  /   0   0   0  10

&&


.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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