Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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012
FNUS54 KEPZ 231345
FWFEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST MODELS NOW AGREE FOR MUCH COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER FOR
LATER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. OUR FIRST PACIFIC COLD FRONT
OF THE FALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE ALONG WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE NORMAL. A STRONG
PACIFIC TROUGH ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY AND THEN
DRIFT WEST FORMING A CLOSED LOW. THIS LOW WILL COMBINE WITH A
STRONGER COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE IN FROM THE EAST BRINING
STRONG EAST WINDS TO CANYONS AND WEST SLOPES. THIS COMBINATION
WILL SET UP A CLOUDY AND WET PERIOD FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SOME 20 TO 30 DEG F BY MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. MIN RH VALUES TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL RUN IN THE 20%
TO 30% RANGE.



&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.




NMZ110-231900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....65-70.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....72-77.
*    24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....35-40 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....33-38 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* LAL.................3.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (146300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....34-39.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....42-47.
*    24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....66-71 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....62-67 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....63-68.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....70-75.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....16-21 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....17-21 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (73200 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

NMZ111-231900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
 SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL
                      1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                      AFTER 1200.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
* HAINES INDEX........3.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (178300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83.
* MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (113300 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

NMZ112-231900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112
 SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL
                      1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (221900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                      5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
* MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (129300 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NMZ113-231900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL
                      1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....77-82.
*    24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....32-37 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....28-33 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (225500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....42-47.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....49-54.
*    24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....52-57 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....63-68.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....70-75.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
*    ABOVE 7500 FT....24-29 PERCENT.
*    BELOW 7500 FT....18-23 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 21 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (129200 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ055-231900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
 EL PASO COUNTY-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (180700 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-65.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
* MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 18 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (130100 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ056-231900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
 HUDSPETH COUNTY-
745 AM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (131600 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                      NIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* LAL.................2.
* HAINES INDEX........2.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* LAL.................2.
* HAINES INDEX........2.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (122700 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

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