879
FNUS54 KEPZ 231257
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.DISCUSSION...
...DRY LIGHTNING RISK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A WARM PERIOD EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AS A PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW
SETS UP OVER THE REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TODAY OVER HUDSPETH COUNTY NORTH INTO THE SACS WHERE SOME DRY
LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE. A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO FAR WEST
TEXAS AND INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL
SET THE REGION UP FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
EAST OF IT. SOME AREAS COULD SEE SOME DRY LIGHTNING NEAR THE EDGE OF
THE DRYLINE WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE LESS. FURTHER EAST INTO
HUDSPETH COUNTY GENERALLY WET THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
THROUGH SATURDAY WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS...BUT STARTING SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK WINDS WILL PICK UP
AS THE DRYLINE PUSHES EAST OUT OF THE AREA. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL BE BREEZY EACH AFTERNOON WITH SOME AREAS SEEING CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ANYTIME BETWEEN SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL BE BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH THIS PERIOD
AS WELL.
&&
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-232100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....76-81.
BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....6-8 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....5-7 PCT.
24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (305600 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....43-48.
BELOW 7500 FT....48-53.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....29-34 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....27-32 PCT.
24 HR TREND......5 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79.
BELOW 7500 FT....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....7-9 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....6-8 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (281700 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44 TO 49. HIGHS 80 TO 85.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 51. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 6 TO 11%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 82 TO 87.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 5 TO 10%.
$$
NMZ111-232100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-5 PCT.
24 HR TREND......2 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (280400 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-26 PCT.
24 HR TREND......1 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (204800 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 6 TO 11%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH
5 TO 10%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 4 TO 9%.
$$
NMZ112-232100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112
SOUTHCENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-LNZ-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PCT.
24 HR TREND......2 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (311100 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........29-34 PCT.
24 HR TREND......18 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (183200 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 88 TO 93. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 9 TO 14%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 90 TO 95. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 6 TO 11%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 91 TO 96.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 5 TO 10%.
$$
NMZ113-232100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79.
BELOW 7500 FT....85-90.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....10-12 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....7-9 PCT.
24 HR TREND......3 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......19200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (336800 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....49-53.
BELOW 7500 FT....55-60.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....49-54 PCT.
24 HR TREND......31 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
28 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....71-76.
BELOW 7500 FT....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....25-29 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....22-27 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
24 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (120500 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 50 TO 55. HIGHS 79 TO 84. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 16 TO 21%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 9 TO 14%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50 TO 55. HIGHS 82 TO 87.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 5 TO 10%.
$$
TXZ055-232100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-8 PCT.
24 HR TREND......2 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 9 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (251000 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........29-34 PCT.
24 HR TREND......16 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 9 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (146000 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 62 TO 67. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 11 TO 16%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65 TO 70. HIGHS IN THE 90S.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.
$$
TXZ056-232100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
657 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14 PCT.
24 HR TREND......6 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 18900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (275600 KNOT-FT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-67.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PCT.
24 HR TREND......33 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (122200 KNOT-FT).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 88 TO 93. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63 TO 68. HIGHS 90 TO 95. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 9 TO 14%.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62 TO 67. HIGHS 91 TO 96.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 8 TO 13%.
$$
FCSTR - 26
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