Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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870
FNUS54 KEPZ 232111
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Friday near critical fire weather conditions will occur for most
southern fire weather zones as the upper level trough that brought
wind, dust and red flag conditions to the area today begins to push
east. Behind the upper level trough breezy to windy conditions will
remain and combine with relative humidities in the upper single
digits. At this point the only fly in the ointment is the winds on
Friday, they may fall just short of necessary speeds and duration.
For now have decided to go with a fire weather watch for Friday
afternoon and will wait for another model run to upgrade or
downgrade the watch. The next critical day could be on Sunday when
the area gets hit with another round of very windy and dry
conditions. This will drop both winds and min RH`s close to Red Flag
conditions in the lowlands. The start of next week will bring more
winds with min RH`s above critical thresholds.


&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-241215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....21-25.
*    Below 7500 ft....25-30.
*    24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 25 mph decreasing
                      to around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 38 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46.
*    Below 7500 ft....50-55.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 38 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (142800 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....21-25.
*    Below 7500 ft....24-29.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....43-48.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (143700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.

$$

NMZ111-241215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
 SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy blowing dust
                      early in the evening.
* Min temperature.....30-34.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
*    24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 25 mph decreasing
                      to around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 36 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....58-63.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........11-13 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 36 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146500 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....28-32.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph decreasing to
                      around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....62-66.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (173700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs around 60. West winds around 15 mph.

$$

NMZ112-241215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112
 SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). Patchy blowing dust
                      early in the evening.
* Min temperature.....33-37.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........33-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 41 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 38 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146100 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....29-33.
* Max humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 20 mph becoming northwest
                      around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....59-64.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (151200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.

$$

NMZ113-241215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....22-26.
*    Below 7500 ft....29-33.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
*    24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 30 mph decreasing to
                      around 20 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 43 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....40-45.
*    Below 7500 ft....49-54.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 39 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (223900 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....21-25.
*    Below 7500 ft....24-29.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....42-47.
*    Below 7500 ft....52-57.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....13-18 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to
                      around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (167200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
50s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds around 20 mph.

$$

TXZ055-241215-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
 EL PASO COUNTY-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy blowing dust
                      early in the evening.
* Min temperature.....41-43.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........28-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......32 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 38 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....60-64.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 37 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133500 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....35-37.
* Max humidity........28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph becoming west
                      around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....62-66.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds around 15 mph.

$$

TXZ056-241215-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
 HUDSPETH COUNTY-
211 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy blowing dust
                      early in the evening.
* Min temperature.....38-42.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........33-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 40 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....59-64.
*    24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 39 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (152700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....32-36.
* Max humidity........27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 20 mph becoming northwest
                      around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....63-68.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 MPH.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (161600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds around 15 mph.

$$

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  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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