566 FXUS64 KMAF 030822 AFDMAF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 322 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2013 .DISCUSSION... Large upper trough beginning to dig into the Intermountain West this morning helping to transition the upper flow to southwest across our area. The main effects from this system will be seen beginning late Friday, but until then summer-like conditions will continue. Low level moisture has again pushed west along with the dryline this morning. A few areas of fog and low clouds remain possible this morning across the southeast Basin and lower Trans Pecos. The dryline will then slide east once again this afternoon with temperatures heading back up into the 90`s. Similar conditions are expected Friday ahead of the cold front. The cold front is still scheduled to arrive across the area Friday night into Saturday morning. The front should be near the I-20 corridor around midnight Saturday and the Rio Grande by sunrise Saturday. There is still a chance we could see a few storms along the front mainly over the eastern Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos where better moisture will lie. A tight pressure gradient behind the front will lead to strong northerly winds. Many fields have been plowed or are vacant across the northern Basin and without any rain in the past week blowing dust will be a concern. Will add this to the forecast for Saturday morning when winds will be the strongest. Guidance continues to indicate near or just below high wind criteria for Guadalupe Pass so am not confident enough for a high wind watch just yet. Temperatures will fall quickly behind the front with highs likely 10 to 15 degrees below normal by Saturday afternoon. Sfc high pressure will settle overhead Sunday morning with light winds and clear skies. This is when we should see the coldest temperatures of the early fall season with near record lows possible. The record low for Midland Intl for Oct 6 is 41 degrees set in 1932. After a fairly cool Sunday temperatures will quickly rebound early next week to AOA normal values. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 93 64 91 48 / 0 0 0 10 BIG SPRING TX 95 70 94 51 / 0 0 0 10 CARLSBAD NM 93 60 93 51 / 0 0 0 0 DRYDEN TX 93 65 93 65 / 0 0 0 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 96 67 95 55 / 0 0 0 10 GUADALUPE PASS TX 82 62 80 49 / 0 0 0 10 HOBBS NM 90 56 89 45 / 0 0 0 0 MARFA TX 86 50 87 45 / 0 0 0 0 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 94 68 93 51 / 0 0 0 10 ODESSA TX 93 68 92 49 / 0 0 0 10 WINK TX 95 62 95 53 / 0 0 0 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 72/29