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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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Product Version: 2013-10-03 08:22:19 2013-10-03 06:10:47 2013-10-02 23:22:33 2013-10-02 19:34:57 2013-10-02 15:41:21 2013-10-02 11:29:16 2013-10-02 08:43:25 2013-10-02 05:36:51 2013-10-01 23:01:44 2013-10-01 19:17:51 2013-10-01 17:33:58 2013-10-01 10:44:03 2013-10-01 08:50:58 2013-10-01 05:00:57 2013-09-30 23:10:52 2013-09-30 19:11:54 2013-09-30 17:03:08 2013-09-30 10:54:08 2013-09-30 08:40:32 2013-09-30 04:51:12 2013-09-29 23:21:54 2013-09-29 19:08:21 2013-09-29 17:05:27 2013-09-29 11:02:10 2013-09-29 08:35:35 2013-09-29 04:33:28 2013-09-29 02:25:56 2013-09-28 23:22:50 2013-09-28 19:09:19 2013-09-28 17:16:15 2013-09-28 13:57:03 2013-09-28 11:26:23 2013-09-28 09:10:22 2013-09-28 05:35:58 2013-09-27 22:52:11 2013-09-27 19:28:18 2013-09-27 18:24:08 2013-09-27 11:43:57 2013-09-27 08:48:26 2013-09-27 05:35:40 2013-09-26 22:41:48 2013-09-26 20:08:23 2013-09-26 17:09:45 2013-09-26 11:13:42 ALL   

566
FXUS64 KMAF 030822
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
322 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...

Large upper trough beginning to dig into the Intermountain West this
morning helping to transition the upper flow to southwest across our
area. The main effects from this system will be seen beginning late
Friday, but until then summer-like conditions will continue. Low
level moisture has again pushed west along with the dryline this
morning. A few areas of fog and low clouds remain possible this
morning across the southeast Basin and lower Trans Pecos. The
dryline will then slide east once again this afternoon with
temperatures heading back up into the 90`s. Similar conditions are
expected Friday ahead of the cold front.

The cold front is still scheduled to arrive across the area Friday
night into Saturday morning. The front should be near the I-20
corridor around midnight Saturday and the Rio Grande by sunrise
Saturday. There is still a chance we could see a few storms along
the front mainly over the eastern Permian Basin and lower Trans
Pecos where better moisture will lie. A tight pressure gradient
behind the front will lead to strong northerly winds. Many fields
have been plowed or are vacant across the northern Basin and
without any rain in the past week blowing dust will be a concern.
Will add this to the forecast for Saturday morning when winds will
be the strongest. Guidance continues to indicate near or just
below high wind criteria for Guadalupe Pass so am not confident
enough for a high wind watch just yet.

Temperatures will fall quickly behind the front with highs likely 10
to 15 degrees below normal by Saturday afternoon. Sfc high pressure
will settle overhead Sunday morning with light winds and clear
skies. This is when we should see the coldest temperatures of the
early fall season with near record lows possible. The record low for
Midland Intl for Oct 6 is 41 degrees set in 1932. After a fairly
cool Sunday temperatures will quickly rebound early next week to AOA
normal values.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 93  64  91  48  /   0   0   0  10
BIG SPRING TX              95  70  94  51  /   0   0   0  10
CARLSBAD NM                93  60  93  51  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  93  65  93  65  /   0   0   0  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           96  67  95  55  /   0   0   0  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          82  62  80  49  /   0   0   0  10
HOBBS NM                   90  56  89  45  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   86  50  87  45  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    94  68  93  51  /   0   0   0  10
ODESSA TX                  93  68  92  49  /   0   0   0  10
WINK TX                    95  62  95  53  /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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