Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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437
FLUS44 KMAF 220939
HWOMAF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
439 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-230945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
439 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /339 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF THE TRANS PECOS...
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE... DAVIS...AND APACHE
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...
VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS. ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE
AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR MORE FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS UP 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL..ESPECIALLY OVER
THE TRANS PECOS.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER. TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS RIVER...SUCH
AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN RIVERS...ROCKY
ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE RIVER...AND WALNUT
CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING AS FLOOD WAVES MOVE DOWN CANYONS.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN CARLSBAD AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH FLOOD WAVES
MOVING DOWN CANYONS AND THE PECOS RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN THAT
FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...IF NOT FLOODING.
ALSO LINGERING FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IN BORDEN AND SCURRY
COUNTIES IS STILL A CONCERN. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE PECOS RIVER
FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL ONGOING AS IS MINOR
FLOODING ON THE COLORADO RIVER AT COLORADO CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

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