Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On

Skip product version selection by date and time.   
067
FXUS64 KMAF 300518
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1218 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with light and occasionally gusty west winds this
TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 213 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017/

Looks like above normal temperatures are in the offing Thursday
and Friday as surface lee troughing and low level thermal ridging
develop ahead of the next Pacific upper level storm system. Breezy
conditions will develop Thursday afternoon in the Guadalupe
Mountains with breezy to very windy conditions expected to develop
Friday across southeast New Mexico and much of west Texas. As the
upper low approaches Friday afternoon high winds will be possible
in the Guadalupe Mountains. A High Wind Watch has been issued for
that location Friday afternoon.

A dryline and dry Pacific cold front will surge east on Saturday
just ahead of the slow moving upper low. High temperatures will
cool considerably behind the front but should still remain above
normal.

The upper low will approach west Texas Saturday night and Sunday
in tandem with a northern stream cold front. The interaction of
lift associated with the upper low with the surface cold front
will produce a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
across west Texas. Temperatures Sunday behind the front are
expected to be below normal.

Yet another Pacific upper low is forecast to track toward the
plains next Monday and Tuesday. This system looks like it will
take a more northern track with above normal temperatures and
windy conditions expected and no precipitation.

FIRE WEATHER...

Critical fire wx will return to the area Thursday/Friday. Thursday
critical conditions will be confined to the GDP Mtns, but expand
to include SE NM and most of the Trans Pecos Friday when the driest
(3% RH) and windiest conditions are expected. Forecast fuel conditions,
as seen thru the ERC-G, will be into the 90th percentile, the driest
of the fire season. There`s a chance that the watch for Friday may
need to be expanded east as significant fire potential will correspondingly
increase.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     53  89  55  79 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       50  88  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         54  92  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  55  90  54  79 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 52  74  44  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          48  81  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          35  81  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           53  88  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         53  87  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           48  89  51  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

     High Wind Watch from Friday morning through Friday afternoon for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening
     for Southeast Plains.

TX...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

     High Wind Watch from Friday morning through Friday afternoon for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

     Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening
     for Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Reeves
     County and Upper Trans Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor.

&&

$$

99/99/10

  • National Weather Service
  • Southern Region Headquarters
  • 819 Taylor Street, Room 10A06
  • Fort Worth, TX 76102
  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
  • Web Master: SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov
  •  
  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.