National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On

Product Version: 2013-10-03 06:10:47 2013-10-02 23:22:33 2013-10-02 15:41:21 2013-10-02 11:29:16 2013-10-02 05:36:51 2013-10-01 23:01:44 2013-10-01 17:33:58 2013-10-01 10:44:03 2013-10-01 05:00:57 2013-09-30 23:10:52 2013-09-30 17:03:08 2013-09-30 10:54:08 2013-09-30 04:51:12 2013-09-29 23:21:54 2013-09-29 17:05:27 2013-09-29 11:02:10 2013-09-29 04:33:28 2013-09-28 23:22:50 2013-09-28 17:16:15 2013-09-28 11:26:23 2013-09-28 05:35:58 2013-09-27 22:52:11 2013-09-27 18:24:08 2013-09-27 11:43:57 2013-09-27 05:35:40 2013-09-26 22:41:48 2013-09-26 17:09:45 2013-09-26 11:13:42 ALL   

909
FXUS64 KMAF 030610
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
109 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through the forecast.  Southerly wind
will swing around to the SW during the day as dryline moves east.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT Wed Oct 2 2013/

DISCUSSION...
Surface trough remains in place this afternoon with a dryline
oriented north-south across the eastern CWA. Temperatures have
steadily increased today and are on track to top out in the low to
mid 90s (well above normal). This trend will continue through
Thursday under quasi-zonal flow aloft. Moisture will slowly increase
across the eastern half of the FA tonight, as the dryline retreats
westward, and may result in some areas of early morning fog or low
clouds for mainly the far eastern zones. Still expecting a strong
front late Friday night so Friday afternoon temperatures should heat
up nicely. Maybe not as warm as previous days but still should
manage to make it up to mainly the upper 80s and low 90s.

Frontal passage is currently progged to enter northern zones around
midnight Friday night and exit the CWA mid to late morning Saturday.
Expect gusty north winds behind the front, given the tight surface
pressure gradient, with the possibility of high winds through
Guadalupe Pass. Surface pressure gradient will relax across the area
in the afternoon and wind speeds will diminish accordingly.
Expecting a mostly dry front however slight chances will exist for
areas to the southeast where moisture will be best. Conditions will
be much cooler Saturday with highs only reaching the upper 60s to
low 70s areawide. With strong surface high pressure settling in over
the area, should see good radiational cooling Saturday night and
temperatures will drop into the 40s. Some areas in the higher
terrain and northern Lea county could see temps in the 30s.

Sunday will remain below normal as well with the surface ridge still
in place but by Monday the ridge will move east and southerly winds
will return to the region. Nearly zonal flow aloft will become
established once again along with surface troughing and temperatures
will rebound to above normal readings (upper 80s) by
Tuesday/Wednesday. Otherwise, the extended remains dry.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$