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Area Forecast Discussion

362 
FXUS64 KLZK 280507 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1207 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE ONLY
EXCEPTION BEING SOME MVFR FOG AT ADF.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO POP ACROSS PORTIONS 
OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS. STORM MOTION ON THESE STORMS WILL BE 
MINIMAL...AND AS A RESULT EXTREMELY ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL 
NEED TO BE MONITORED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WEAKEN AFTER 
SUNSET AS THEY LOSE THE HEAT OF THE DAY. 

A VERY SIMILAR DAY WILL BE SEEN ON TUESDAY WITH HOT TEMPERATURES 
CONTINUING. DID ADD IN A FEW ADDITIONAL COUNTIES TO THE ALREADY 
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY FOR TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL 
AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE OF NOTE IN THE SHORT TERM IS A COLD FRONT 
THAT PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE QUITE LOW WITH 
THIS FRONT...WITH THE FRONTS BIGGEST IMPACT BEING A WIND SHIFT AND 
NOTICEABLY DRIER DEW POINTS.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... 

HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED ACROSS THE OZARKS... IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE 
DRY CONDITIONS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE OVER 
THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE ROCKIES BY THE START 
OF THIS PERIOD. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     77  96  73  89 /  10  20  20  10 
CAMDEN AR         76  99  77  95 /  10  10  20  30 
HARRISON AR       74  93  69  87 /  10  20  10  10 
HOT SPRINGS AR    77  98  78  93 /  10  10  10  20 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  78  99  77  92 /  10  20  20  10 
MONTICELLO AR     78  99  77  94 /  10  20  20  30 
MOUNT IDA AR      72  99  73  92 /  10  10  10  20 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  75  95  70  89 /  10  20  10  10 
NEWPORT AR        77  96  73  88 /  10  20  20  10 
PINE BLUFF AR     76  98  76  93 /  10  20  20  20 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   75  99  75  92 /  10  10  10  10 
SEARCY AR         75  99  72  90 /  10  20  20  10 
STUTTGART AR      77  97  74  90 /  10  20  20  10 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-
CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-
FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-
PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SHARP-VAN BUREN-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$


AVIATION...62


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