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Fire Weather Forecast (St. Francis County)

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LAST UPDATED: 611 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 70S WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
70S. RAIN WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ON MONDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
50S. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AS
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           80           60           
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.08         0.36         0.12         
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            12           6            
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
TEMP (24H TREND)      75 (+1)      61 (0)       77           
RH % (24H TREND)      67 (0)       100 (0)      59           
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 2-6                     SW 6-10      
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8        E 3-7        SW 9-13 G19  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1494                      2375         
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4900                      7793         
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1556                      2438         
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   5104                      7997         
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  5                     SW 10        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SW 23        
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     7780                      24380        
CATEGORY DAY          3                         5            
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71                        73           
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  3                      SW  9        
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  8                      SW 21        
DISPERSION INDEX      34           25           72           
LAL                   4            5            5            
LASI                  3            3            3            
STABILITY             C            D            C            
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            1            

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