How Dry Is It?
Abnormally Dry Conditions
At times, below normal precipitation will lead to a lack of ground water and worsening drought conditions in Arkansas. Check out the latest conditions below.
 
Monitoring Drought in Arkansas
 
Drought Status
 
Moderate (D1) drought conditions were identified in extreme southeast Arkansas (Chicot County) on 04/08/2014.

There was a small area of moderate (D1) drought in far southeast Arkansas (Chicot County) to begin April, 2014.

 
Drought Conditions (Percent Area)
Category Coverage
None 77.93%
D0-D4 22.07%
D1-D4 0.29%
D2-D4 0%
D3-D4 0%
D4 0%
In the picture: Moderate (D1) drought conditions were identified in extreme southeast Arkansas (Chicot County) on 04/08/2014. Otherwise, it was abnormally dry (D0) in far northern/western Arkansas, and also toward the Louisiana border.
 
 
Otherwise, abnormally dry conditions were noted in extreme northern/western Arkansas, and also toward the Louisiana border. While March departures from normal would not suggest a big problem in these areas, yearly deficits were three to more than five inches in some cases. This included El Dorado (Union County), Fort Smith (Sebastian County), Pine Bluff (Jefferson County) and Texarkana (Miller County).

 

Precipitation in March, 2014
Site Amount Normal +/- % of Normal
Fayetteville (NW AR) 5.51 3.95 +1.56 139%
Harrison (NC AR) 4.44 3.79 +0.65 117%
Jonesboro (NE AR) 5.01 4.51 +0.50 111%
Fort Smith (WC AR) 3.74 3.43 +0.31 109%
Little Rock (C AR) 5.29 4.68 +0.61 113%
West Memphis (EC AR) 5.80 4.94 +0.86 117%
Texarkana (SW AR) 3.31 4.20 -0.89 79%
El Dorado (SC AR) 3.99 4.75 -0.76 84%
Pine Bluff (SE AR) 4.46 5.40 -0.94 83%

 

Precipitation in 2014 (through March)
Site Amount Normal +/- % of Normal
Fayetteville (NW AR) 7.99 9.60 -1.61 83%
Harrison (NC AR) 6.39 8.99 -2.60 71%
Jonesboro (NE AR) 9.72 11.65 -1.93 83%
Fort Smith (WC AR) 5.62 9.42 -3.80 60%
Little Rock (C AR) 10.86 11.89 -1.03 91%
West Memphis (EC AR) 12.88 13.57 -0.69 95%
Texarkana (SW AR) 7.18 11.59 -4.41 62%
El Dorado (SC AR) 8.57 13.84 -5.27 62%
Pine Bluff (SE AR) 9.89 13.22 -3.33 75%

 

Drought conditions as of 04/08/2014.
In the picture: Drought conditions as of 04/08/2014.
 

Widespread drought was as close as the central and southern Plains. Without continued periodic rain, drought could spread slowly to the east into Arkansas. This will be monitored closely in the coming weeks.

Drought has been a common theme locally since 2010. The southwest has fared the worst, with just short of a five foot (58.70 inches) rainfall deficit at Texarkana (Miller County) in a four year span (through 2013).

 

Precipitation Statistics (2010-2013)
Site 2013 +/- 2012 +/- 2011 +/- 2010 +/-
Fayetteville (NW AR) 46.63 -1.88 34.29 -14.22 56.15 +7.64 42.15 -3.87
Harrison (NC AR) 45.26 +1.12 29.53 -14.61 52.01 +7.87 46.12 +0.92
Jonesboro (NE AR) 52.42 +4.32 33.57 -14.53 58.05 +9.95 32.22 -13.96
Fort Smith (WC AR) 47.05 +1.59 33.94 -11.52 46.56 +1.10 35.27 -8.60
Little Rock (C AR) 52.78 +3.03 42.25 -7.50 60.23 +10.48 36.52 -14.41
West Memphis (EC AR) 54.47 +2.24 39.08 -13.15 55.95 +2.37 51.83 -0.97
Texarkana (SW AR) 45.34 -4.31 32.07 -17.58 30.69 -18.96 29.53 -17.85
El Dorado (SC AR) 47.49 -5.43 44.41 -8.51 37.62 -15.30 34.23 -19.88
Pine Bluff (SE AR) 52.66 +1.51 45.69 -5.46 48.70 -2.45 31.97 -20.51

 

There were some drought breakers along the way, such as a deluge from mid-November to mid-December, 2011.

 

Twelve to more than eighteen inches of rain was measured from Mena (Polk County) to Mount Ida (Montgomery County), Russellville (Pope County), Little Rock (Pulaski County), Jonesboro (Craighead County) and West Memphis (Crittenden County). Thirty day rainfall through 600 am CST on 12/11/2011.
In the picture: Thirty day rainfall through 600 am CST on 12/11/2011.

 

Hurricane Isaac was just off the coast of Louisiana at 425 pm CDT on 08/28/2012.

Hurricane Isaac brought much needed rain to southern and eastern Arkansas in late August, 2012. Pine Bluff (Jefferson County) had 8.39 inches in the forty eight hour period ending at 700 am CDT on September 1st.

In the picture: Hurricane Isaac was just off the coast of Louisiana at 425 pm CDT on 08/28/2012.

 

In September, 2013, areas from Little Rock (Pulaski County) southward got two to four inches of rain, with locally over six inches on the 19th/20th. Some of these amounts exceeded what would normally be expected during the entire month. This busted a short term extreme (D3) drought that peaked just a few days prior to the rain.

 

Precipitation Trends

 

Streamflow and Soil Moisture
 
Most recent streamflow (values in the 25th to 75th percentile are normal)
Most recent soil moisture (values between 30 and 70 percent are normal)

 

Fire Danger

 

The Forecast

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