Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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906
AXUS74 KLUB 251501
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-091515-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1001 AM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

...A WET SEPTEMBER ALLEVIATES THE SHORT-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AREA. HOWEVER...LONG-TERM WATER
SUPPLY ISSUES REMAIN...

SYNOPSIS...
FOLLOWING AN UNUSUALLY HOT AND DRY START TO THE MONTH...AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT ON SEPTEMBER 5TH HERALDED A
TRANSITION TOWARD A COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN THAT CONTINUED
LARGELY UNINTERRUPTED FOR THE NEXT THREE WEEKS. THIS CHANGE WAS
PUNCTUATED BY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ON SEVERAL DAYS INCLUDING
THE 6TH...11TH...17TH THROUGH THE 21ST...AND ALSO THE 24TH.
TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODING WERE MOST COMMON BY THE THIRD WEEK
OF THE MONTH AS THE REMNANTS OF PACIFIC HURRICANE ODILE OVERSPREAD
ALL OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS. TOTAL
RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH RANGED FROM A MINIMUM OF A FEW INCHES
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TO BETWEEN FIVE AND TEN
INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS.
SOME SECTIONS OF CENTRAL LYNN AND FAR SOUTHERN GARZA COUNTIES SAW
REMARKABLE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE MONTH OF NEARLY 13 INCHES. A
GOOD PORTION OF THESE HEAVY RAINS FELL IN THE LAKE ALAN HENRY
WATERSHED AND YIELDED SIGNIFICANT LAKE LEVELS NOT SEEN SINCE LATE
2012. ALTHOUGH SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE LARGELY
ERADICATED BY THIS ABUNDANT RAINFALL...THE LONG TERM DROUGHT
CATEGORIES THAT FACTOR IN WATER SUPPLIES HAVE NOT BENEFITED AS
MUCH TO TO NON-UNIFORM RESERVOIR IMPROVEMENT. THE LATEST DROUGHT
CATEGORIES NOW RANGE FROM ABNORMALLY DRY ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF
THE NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...TO
MODERATE WITH SOME SEVERE POCKETS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
PLAINS. SEVERE DROUGHT REMAINED LARGELY UNCHANGED IN THE ROLLING
PLAINS WITH SOME LINGERING EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT LEVELS IN
SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY.

.AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...THE RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN WET
CONDITIONS IN AREA FIELDS. THIS MAY IMPACT THE COTTON CROP BECAUSE
OF EXCESSIVE NEW GROWTH OR REGROWTH FOR COTTON THAT HAD ALREADY
REACHED CUTOUT...AND ANY OPEN BOLLS MAY HAVE RECEIVED DAMAGED TO
EXPOSED LINT FROM RECENT RAINFALL. IN ADDITION...ADDITIONAL HEAT
UNITS WERE NEEDED TO FINISH OUT THE CROP. ALL GRAIN HARVESTING AND
WHEAT DRILLING WERE DELAYED DUE TO THE RAIN BUT ALREADY PLANTED
WHEAT BENEFITED FROM RECENT RAINFALL. RAINFALL HAS ALSO BEEN HEAVY
ENOUGH TO REPLENISH SUBSOIL MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN GOOD TO EXCELLENT CONDITION AS
COOL-SEASON GRASSES ARE EMERGING. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF
LIVESTOCK WAS NOT REQUIRED.

THE ROLLING PLAINS SAW HEAVIER RAINFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE REGION WHILE THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES REMAINED DRY.
LOWER BOLLS IN THE COTTON CROP HAD STARTED TO OPEN BUT ADDITIONAL
HEAT UNITS WERE STILL NEEDED TO FINISH THE CROP.  RYE GRASS AND
WINTER WHEAT PLANTING HAD BEGUN AND GRAIN SORGHUM HAS HEADED OUT.
LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN GENERALLY GOOD CONDITION WITH MINOR
IMPROVEMENT IN PASTURES AND RANGELAND...ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVIER
RAINS HAVE FALLEN.  LAKE AND STOCK POND WATER LEVELS WERE STILL
CRITICALLY LOW.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
ABOVE-NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE AND GREEN FUELS HAVE ERADICATED GRASSLAND
FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH EARLY FALL. REGIONAL ERC VALUES ARE AT THEIR
LOWEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR SO FAR AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH OCTOBER.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
THE BIG STORY FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER IN WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO HAS BEEN ABUNDANT RAINFALL...BRINGING BOTH
RELIEF TO AREA DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND MAJOR FLOODING ISSUES IN
PLACES. MUCH OF THIS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO A COMBINATION OF BOTH A
STRONG MONSOONAL PATTERN AND A VERY ACTIVE PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...AND IN PARTICULAR THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE WHICH
SLOWLY TRAVERSED ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE SECOND AND
THIRD WEEKS OF THE MONTH. ACROSS THE LUBBOCK FORECAST AREA
SPECIFICALLY...THE HARDEST HIT REGION HAS BEEN THE SOUTHERN SOUTH
PLAINS WHERE WIDESPREAD RAINS OF BETWEEN 6 TO 9 INCHES OF RAIN
WERE MEASURED SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE MONTH...INCLUDING A FEW
ISOLATED TOTALS BETWEEN 9 AND 12 INCHES AS WELL. THIS HAS BEEN
PARTICULARLY BENEFICIAL TO THE LAKE ALAN HENRY WATERSHED...WHERE
WATER LEVELS IN THE RESERVOIR HAVE RISEN A FULL 20 PERCENT DUE TO
THESE RECENT RAINS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND THE
ROLLING PLAINS RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES WERE
WIDESPREAD AS WELL.

UNFORTUNATELY...A FEW LOCALIZED AREAS DID NOT SEE AS MUCH RAIN AS
OTHERS...INCLUDING ESPECIALLY PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE WHERE ONLY ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WAS SEEN DURING
SEPTEMBER.  WHILE A VERY RECENT EVENT ON SEPTEMBER 24TH DID BRING
PATCHY AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO THIS AREA...DROUGHT
IMPROVEMENT OVER THIS AREA HAS BEEN MUCH MORE SUBDUED.  AS FOR
TEMPERATURES...SEVERAL COLD FRONTS AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE RESULTED IN
A RELATIVELY COOL BUT MUGGY FIRST 24 DAYS OF THE MONTH...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RUNNING APPROXIMATELY THREE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT
LUBBOCK...AND TWO DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT CHILDRESS FOR THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF SEPTEMBER...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
APPEARS LOW...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT CAN BRING POCKETS OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL. FOR THE PERIOD OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER...THE FORECAST
WEATHER PATTEN FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR WEST TEXAS...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH AN INTENSIFYING
EL NINO IN THE PACIFIC.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MOST AREA RESERVOIRS BENEFITED FROM THE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OVER THE
PAST MONTH. IN INCREASE AT LAKE ALAN HENRY IN PARTICULAR WAS THE
LARGEST RISE SEEN SINCE THE BEGINNING OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN
LATE 2010. THE RAINFALL WAS FOCUSED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH PLAINS AREA THUS MACKENZIE LAKE DID NOT
EXPERIENCE ANY IMPROVEMENT.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON SEPTEMBER 25TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION  POOL  4-WEEK MAXIMUM    PERCENT OF
                          POOL TODAY  CHANGE   DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                              (FEET)      CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.4    -0.1      61             8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2344.3    +1.6      17             6
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2210.9    +9.3      68            68

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OCTOBER 30TH OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN
RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
906
AXUS74 KLUB 251501
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-091515-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1001 AM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

...A WET SEPTEMBER ALLEVIATES THE SHORT-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AREA. HOWEVER...LONG-TERM WATER
SUPPLY ISSUES REMAIN...

SYNOPSIS...
FOLLOWING AN UNUSUALLY HOT AND DRY START TO THE MONTH...AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT ON SEPTEMBER 5TH HERALDED A
TRANSITION TOWARD A COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN THAT CONTINUED
LARGELY UNINTERRUPTED FOR THE NEXT THREE WEEKS. THIS CHANGE WAS
PUNCTUATED BY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ON SEVERAL DAYS INCLUDING
THE 6TH...11TH...17TH THROUGH THE 21ST...AND ALSO THE 24TH.
TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODING WERE MOST COMMON BY THE THIRD WEEK
OF THE MONTH AS THE REMNANTS OF PACIFIC HURRICANE ODILE OVERSPREAD
ALL OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS. TOTAL
RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH RANGED FROM A MINIMUM OF A FEW INCHES
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TO BETWEEN FIVE AND TEN
INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS.
SOME SECTIONS OF CENTRAL LYNN AND FAR SOUTHERN GARZA COUNTIES SAW
REMARKABLE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE MONTH OF NEARLY 13 INCHES. A
GOOD PORTION OF THESE HEAVY RAINS FELL IN THE LAKE ALAN HENRY
WATERSHED AND YIELDED SIGNIFICANT LAKE LEVELS NOT SEEN SINCE LATE
2012. ALTHOUGH SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE LARGELY
ERADICATED BY THIS ABUNDANT RAINFALL...THE LONG TERM DROUGHT
CATEGORIES THAT FACTOR IN WATER SUPPLIES HAVE NOT BENEFITED AS
MUCH TO TO NON-UNIFORM RESERVOIR IMPROVEMENT. THE LATEST DROUGHT
CATEGORIES NOW RANGE FROM ABNORMALLY DRY ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF
THE NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...TO
MODERATE WITH SOME SEVERE POCKETS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
PLAINS. SEVERE DROUGHT REMAINED LARGELY UNCHANGED IN THE ROLLING
PLAINS WITH SOME LINGERING EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT LEVELS IN
SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY.

.AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...THE RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN WET
CONDITIONS IN AREA FIELDS. THIS MAY IMPACT THE COTTON CROP BECAUSE
OF EXCESSIVE NEW GROWTH OR REGROWTH FOR COTTON THAT HAD ALREADY
REACHED CUTOUT...AND ANY OPEN BOLLS MAY HAVE RECEIVED DAMAGED TO
EXPOSED LINT FROM RECENT RAINFALL. IN ADDITION...ADDITIONAL HEAT
UNITS WERE NEEDED TO FINISH OUT THE CROP. ALL GRAIN HARVESTING AND
WHEAT DRILLING WERE DELAYED DUE TO THE RAIN BUT ALREADY PLANTED
WHEAT BENEFITED FROM RECENT RAINFALL. RAINFALL HAS ALSO BEEN HEAVY
ENOUGH TO REPLENISH SUBSOIL MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN GOOD TO EXCELLENT CONDITION AS
COOL-SEASON GRASSES ARE EMERGING. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF
LIVESTOCK WAS NOT REQUIRED.

THE ROLLING PLAINS SAW HEAVIER RAINFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE REGION WHILE THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES REMAINED DRY.
LOWER BOLLS IN THE COTTON CROP HAD STARTED TO OPEN BUT ADDITIONAL
HEAT UNITS WERE STILL NEEDED TO FINISH THE CROP.  RYE GRASS AND
WINTER WHEAT PLANTING HAD BEGUN AND GRAIN SORGHUM HAS HEADED OUT.
LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN GENERALLY GOOD CONDITION WITH MINOR
IMPROVEMENT IN PASTURES AND RANGELAND...ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVIER
RAINS HAVE FALLEN.  LAKE AND STOCK POND WATER LEVELS WERE STILL
CRITICALLY LOW.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
ABOVE-NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE AND GREEN FUELS HAVE ERADICATED GRASSLAND
FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH EARLY FALL. REGIONAL ERC VALUES ARE AT THEIR
LOWEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR SO FAR AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH OCTOBER.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
THE BIG STORY FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER IN WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO HAS BEEN ABUNDANT RAINFALL...BRINGING BOTH
RELIEF TO AREA DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND MAJOR FLOODING ISSUES IN
PLACES. MUCH OF THIS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO A COMBINATION OF BOTH A
STRONG MONSOONAL PATTERN AND A VERY ACTIVE PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...AND IN PARTICULAR THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE WHICH
SLOWLY TRAVERSED ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE SECOND AND
THIRD WEEKS OF THE MONTH. ACROSS THE LUBBOCK FORECAST AREA
SPECIFICALLY...THE HARDEST HIT REGION HAS BEEN THE SOUTHERN SOUTH
PLAINS WHERE WIDESPREAD RAINS OF BETWEEN 6 TO 9 INCHES OF RAIN
WERE MEASURED SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE MONTH...INCLUDING A FEW
ISOLATED TOTALS BETWEEN 9 AND 12 INCHES AS WELL. THIS HAS BEEN
PARTICULARLY BENEFICIAL TO THE LAKE ALAN HENRY WATERSHED...WHERE
WATER LEVELS IN THE RESERVOIR HAVE RISEN A FULL 20 PERCENT DUE TO
THESE RECENT RAINS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND THE
ROLLING PLAINS RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES WERE
WIDESPREAD AS WELL.

UNFORTUNATELY...A FEW LOCALIZED AREAS DID NOT SEE AS MUCH RAIN AS
OTHERS...INCLUDING ESPECIALLY PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE WHERE ONLY ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WAS SEEN DURING
SEPTEMBER.  WHILE A VERY RECENT EVENT ON SEPTEMBER 24TH DID BRING
PATCHY AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO THIS AREA...DROUGHT
IMPROVEMENT OVER THIS AREA HAS BEEN MUCH MORE SUBDUED.  AS FOR
TEMPERATURES...SEVERAL COLD FRONTS AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE RESULTED IN
A RELATIVELY COOL BUT MUGGY FIRST 24 DAYS OF THE MONTH...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RUNNING APPROXIMATELY THREE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT
LUBBOCK...AND TWO DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT CHILDRESS FOR THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF SEPTEMBER...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
APPEARS LOW...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT CAN BRING POCKETS OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL. FOR THE PERIOD OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER...THE FORECAST
WEATHER PATTEN FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR WEST TEXAS...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH AN INTENSIFYING
EL NINO IN THE PACIFIC.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MOST AREA RESERVOIRS BENEFITED FROM THE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OVER THE
PAST MONTH. IN INCREASE AT LAKE ALAN HENRY IN PARTICULAR WAS THE
LARGEST RISE SEEN SINCE THE BEGINNING OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN
LATE 2010. THE RAINFALL WAS FOCUSED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH PLAINS AREA THUS MACKENZIE LAKE DID NOT
EXPERIENCE ANY IMPROVEMENT.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON SEPTEMBER 25TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION  POOL  4-WEEK MAXIMUM    PERCENT OF
                          POOL TODAY  CHANGE   DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                              (FEET)      CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.4    -0.1      61             8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2344.3    +1.6      17             6
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2210.9    +9.3      68            68

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OCTOBER 30TH OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN
RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
681
AXUS74 KLUB 281849
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-111900-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
149 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

...SPOTTY RAINFALL DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST DID LITTLE TO IMPROVE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS...

SYNOPSIS...
THE MONTH OF AUGUST SAW PROLONGED DRYNESS FOR MOST OF THE SOUTH
PLAINS REGION HOWEVER SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL DID OCCUR.
THIS RAIN WAS TOO LIMITED IN EXTENT AND FREQUENCY TO CREATE
SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND CONTRIBUTIONS TO SURFACE WATER LEVELS.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE MONTH ENDED SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH ONLY A
FEW DAYS SEEING READINGS TOPPING THE CENTURY MARK. THE MOISTURE
THAT REMAINED OVER THE REGION WAS MOSTLY DUE TO THE INFLUX OF
MONSOON FLOW FROM THE PACIFIC. WHILE THERE WERE MANY DAYS OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...COVERAGE WAS SCATTERED AT BEST.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT DOMINATED THE WEATHER PATTERN AND PROVIDED
WEAK STEERING CURRENTS THAT ALLOWED FOR HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS FOR
AREAS THAT DID RECEIVE RAIN. AS A RESULT OF THE SPOTTY NATURE OF
THE RAIN THE DROUGHT MONITOR REMAINED MAINLY UNCHANGED. A COUPLE
OF EXCEPTIONS WERE REDUCING THE CATEGORY TO ABNORMALLY DRY ACROSS
PARTS OF CASTRO...BAILEY...AND LAMB COUNTIES AND RAISING DROUGHT
STATUS TO EXTREME DROUGHT FOR PORTIONS OF LUBBOCK...TERRY...
HOCKLEY...AND LYNN COUNTIES.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS..
DESPITE SOME SPOTTY RAIN SHOWERS DURING AUGUST...CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE SOUTH PLAINS AREA WERE MOSTLY HOT AND DRY. THIS RESULTED IN
MIXED BLESSINGS FOR PRODUCERS. MANY COTTON FARMERS WELCOMED THE
ADDITIONAL HEAT UNITS TO MATURE THEIR CROPS...WHILE DRYLAND FARMERS
WERE SEEING THEIR CROPS BEGIN TO BE STRESSED FROM THE LACK OF
MOISTURE. PEANUT PRODUCERS ALSO WELCOMED THE WARM WEATHER TO HELP
FINISH OUT THEIR CROPS WELL. GRAIN SORGHUM WAS PROGRESSING WELL
WHERE RAINS OR IRRIGATION OCCURRED. RANGELAND WAS DETERIORATING
UNDER THESE CONDITIONS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE ROLLING
PLAINS...AND LIGHTNING-INDUCED WILDFIRES WERE INCREASING IN
FREQUENCY. STOCK TANKS AND LAKE LEVELS REMAINED LOW.
HOWEVER...LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN GENERALLY GOOD TO EXCELLENT
CONDITION. PECAN PRODUCERS HAD BEGUN IRRIGATING TO SAVE A
PROMISING CROP. FINALLY...WHERE SOIL MOISTURE ALLOWED...FARMERS
WERE PREPARING FIELDS FOR PLANTING WINTER PASTURE CROPS.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE VALUES KEPT FIRE
CONCERNS LOW THROUGH LATE SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME LOCATIONS
EXPERIENCED MODEST CURING OF GRASSES GIVEN HIT OR MISS RAINFALL
OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN THE LAST FEW WEEKS. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUED TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK
COUNTY WARNING AREA. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL EXIST FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS
OF AUGUST...THEREAFTER...RAINFALL OPPORTUNITIES LOOK TO BE MORE LIMITED.
NONETHELESS...WINDS...TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS SUGGEST FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOW FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
AUGUST STARTED OUT COOL FOR SOME AREAS OF WEST TEXAS BUT THINGS
QUICKLY WARMED UP BY THE END OF THE FIRST WEEK. FOR CLIMATE
STATIONS AT THE LUBBOCK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND THE CHILDRESS
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS DOMINATED THE MONTH.
BOTH STATIONS REPORTED THEIR AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AROUND
1.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT HAD FARED
BETTER IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION DEFICIT REPORTING IN AT 0.87
INCHES BELOW NORMAL WHEREAS THE LUBBOCK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
REPORTED BEING 1.23 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. EVEN THOUGH THESE
STATIONS WERE SEEING PRECIPITATION DEFICITS SOME AREAS ACROSS THE
REGION DID RECEIVE ABUNDANT AND MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL. THE AREAS TO
BENEFIT FROM RAIN THE MOST WERE THE SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AND WESTERN ROLLING PLAINS
WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES OR MORE WERE RECORDED. THE
STATION REPORTING THE HIGHEST RAINFALL SINCE AUGUST 1ST WAS THE
PADUCAH 10S COOP STATION WITH 4.24 INCHES OF RAIN.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
RAINFALL CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF
AUGUST...COURTESY OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PROGRESSING
EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. ABNORMALLY HIGH
MOISTURE THROUGH A DEEP PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE MAY LEAD SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL FOR A FEW LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE THE CHANCES FOR RAINFALL
WILL BE LOWER THIS WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER AS A
FLATTENED UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION INTO EARLY FALL WHILE THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK CALLS
FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

RESERVOIRS EXPERIENCED GENERAL DECLINES IN CONSERVATION POOL LEVELS
FROM THEIR JULY VALUES. CONVECTIVE RAINFALL EVENTS WERE A PRIMARY
SOURCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 4 WEEKS...COVERAGE OF
CONVECTIVE STORMS CAN VARY OVER SHORT GEOGRAPHIC DISTANCES. THE
RESERVOIRS WERE NOT COLLOCATED WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS FROM
THUNDERSTORMS SINCE THE END OF JULY. DESPITE THE DRY PERIOD ALL
RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON AUGUST 28TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5    0   61       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.7 -0.2   16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2201.6 -1.1   59      57

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON SEPTEMBER 25TH OR SOONER IF NECESSARY
IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
966
AXUS74 KLUB 311601
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-141600-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1100 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY IMPROVE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
A TREND OF WET WEATHER FROM MAY AND JUNE CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF JULY BUT DRIED OUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH. MOST
AREAS SAW AT OR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE SECOND AND THIRD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WAS
THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WHERE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WAS
OBSERVED. THIS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
MANY AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND ESPECIALLY
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. SEVERE DROUGHT OR CATEGORY
TWO CONTINUED TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS WHILE THE ROLLING
PLAINS MOSTLY SAW SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT OR CATEGORY THREE
CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF COTTLE AND KING COUNTIES REMAINED IN
EXCEPTIONAL OR CATEGORY FOUR DROUGHT. A LARGE IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CONDITIONS IMPROVED TO
CATEGORY ONE OR MODERATE DROUGHT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT OCCURRED ON THE SECOND AND
THIRD OF JULY WHICH BROUGHT BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN.
FOR THE YEAR...THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS SEEN PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 100
AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS
RECORDED NEARLY 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE ROLLING PLAINS CONTINUED
TO SHOW A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE WITH ANNUAL PRECIPITATION VALUES
BETWEEN 50 AND 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH ISOLATED AREAS NEAR NORMAL.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER THAT RETURNED DURING JULY CAUSED PRODUCERS
TO BEGIN IRRIGATING AGAIN. COTTON WAS SQUARING AND FRUITING...BUT
MOISTURE IS NEEDED FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE LACK OF MOISTURE
THIS MONTH HAD PUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MUCH OF THE COTTON CROP
BEHIND SCHEDULE...DESPITE THE NEEDED WARM TEMPERATURES. NO
SIGNIFICANT PEST OR FUNGAL INFESTATIONS WERE NOTED IN THE
COTTON...PEANUT... SORGHUM...AND CORN CROPS. PASTURES AND
RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION...AND AS A RESULT
LIVESTOCK WERE IN GOOD CONDITION. HOWEVER...FALL ARMYWORM FEEDING
WAS WIDESPREAD.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH MID SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME MODEST CURING OF GRASSES MAY HAVE
OCCURRED WITH THE RECENT HOT AND DRY SPELL. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY
WARNING AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK SMALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST...BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT BETTER RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THAT WEEK. REGARDLESS...
WINDS...TEMPERATURE...AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUGGEST
FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOST AREAS RECORDED NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LUBBOCK
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED 2.64 INCHES OF RAIN...0.79 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 79.2
DEGREES...0.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH...0.75 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 80.7 DEGREES...2.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SOME AREAS RECEIVED OVER THREE INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH THE HIGHEST REPORTED RAINFALL OCCURRING IN HART TX
WHICH WAS 5.35 INCHES AS REPORTED BY THE HART COOP OBSERVER.
DESPITE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED...LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN
MADE TO AREA DROUGHT CATEGORIES. NOTED IMPROVEMENTS ARE IN THE
NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH
WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D2 TO D1...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D3 TO D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE MONTH OF AUGUST
WITH MOIST GROUNDS AND A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF
AUGUST WITH TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING AT OR BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF AUGUST. PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE
MORE MIXED FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. NORTH AMERICAN MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL PERSIST BUT WILL LIKELY BE LESS PLENTIFUL WITH A WEAKER UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAY SEND A COLD FRONT
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WHICH MAY GARNER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THE FIRST WEEK IN AUGUST. PRECIPITATION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO APPEARS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST...BUT
REMAINS UNCLEAR ON HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE ON WEST
TEXAS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS DID SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT AT THE END OF JUNE AND THE
BEGINNING OF JULY...BUT WHITE RIVER LAKE WAS THE ONLY RESERVOIR TO
SHOW AN OVERALL IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF JULY WITH LAKE LEVELS
RISING NEARLY 2.5 FEET. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO RAIN NOT BEING AS WIDE
SPREAD DURING THE MONTH OF JULY AS IT WAS DURING JUNE AS WELL AS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MIDDLE OF
JULY. DESPITE THIS DRY PERIOD ALL RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO
PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JULY 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5 -0.5    60       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.9 +2.4    16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2202.7 -1.2    60      59

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 28TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
082
AXUS74 KLUB 311547
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-141600-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1047 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

...HEADLINE...

SYNOPSIS...
A TREND OF WET WEATHER FROM MAY AND JUNE CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF JULY BUT DRIED OUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH. MOST
AREAS SAW AT OR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE SECOND AND THIRD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WAS
THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WHERE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WAS
OBSERVED. THIS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
MANY AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND ESPECIALLY
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. SEVERE DROUGHT OR CATEGORY
TWO CONTINUED TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS WHILE THE ROLLING
PLAINS MOSTLY SAW SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT OR CATEGORY THREE
CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF COTTLE AND KING COUNTIES REMAINED IN
EXCEPTIONAL OR CATEGORY FOUR DROUGHT. A LARGE IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CONDITIONS IMPROVED TO
CATEGORY ONE OR MODERATE DROUGHT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT OCCURRED ON THE SECOND AND
THIRD OF JULY WHICH BROUGHT BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN.
FOR THE YEAR...THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS SEEN PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 100
AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS
RECORDED NEARLY 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE ROLLING PLAINS CONTINUED
TO SHOW A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE WITH ANNUAL PRECIPITATION VALUES
BETWEEN 50 AND 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH ISOLATED AREAS NEAR NORMAL.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER THAT RETURNED DURING JULY CAUSED PRODUCERS
TO BEGIN IRRIGATING AGAIN. COTTON WAS SQUARING AND FRUITING...BUT
MOISTURE IS NEEDED FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE LACK OF MOISTURE
THIS MONTH HAD PUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MUCH OF THE COTTON CROP
BEHIND SCHEDULE...DESPITE THE NEEDED WARM TEMPERATURES. NO
SIGNIFICANT PEST OR FUNGAL INFESTATIONS WERE NOTED IN THE
COTTON...PEANUT... SORGHUM...AND CORN CROPS. PASTURES AND
RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION...AND AS A RESULT
LIVESTOCK WERE IN GOOD CONDITION. HOWEVER...FALL ARMYWORM FEEDING
WAS WIDESPREAD.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH MID SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME MODEST CURING OF GRASSES MAY HAVE
OCCURRED WITH THE RECENT HOT AND DRY SPELL. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY
WARNING AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK SMALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST...BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT BETTER RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THAT WEEK. REGARDLESS...
WINDS...TEMPERATURE...AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUGGEST FIRE
DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOST AREAS RECORDED NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LUBBOCK
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED 2.64 INCHES OF RAIN...0.79 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 79.2
DEGREES...0.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH...0.75 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 80.7 DEGREES...2.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SOME AREAS RECEIVED OVER THREE INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH THE HIGHEST REPORTED RAINFALL OCCURRING IN HART TX
WHICH WAS 5.35 INCHES AS REPORTED BY THE HART COOP OBSERVER.
DESPITE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED...LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN
MADE TO AREA DROUGHT CATEGORIES. NOTED IMPROVEMENTS ARE IN THE
NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH
WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D2 TO D1...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D3 TO D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE MONTH OF AUGUST
WITH MOIST GROUNDS AND A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF
AUGUST WITH TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING AT OR BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF AUGUST. PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE
MORE MIXED FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. NORTH AMERICAN MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL PERSIST BUT WILL LIKELY BE LESS PLENTIFUL WITH A WEAKER UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAY SEND A COLD FRONT
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WHICH MAY GARNER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THE FIRST WEEK IN AUGUST. PRECIPITATION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO APPEARS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST...BUT
REMAINS UNCLEAR ON HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE ON WEST
TEXAS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS DID SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT AT THE END OF JUNE AND THE
BEGINNING OF JULY...BUT WHITE RIVER LAKE WAS THE ONLY RESERVOIR TO
SHOW AN OVERALL IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF JULY WITH LAKE LEVELS
RISING NEARLY 2.5 FEET. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO RAIN NOT BEING AS WIDE
SPREAD DURING THE MONTH OF JULY AS IT WAS DURING JUNE AS WELL AS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MIDDLE OF
JULY. DESPITE THIS DRY PERIOD ALL RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO
PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JULY 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5 -0.5    60       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.9 +2.4    16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2202.7 -1.2    60      59

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 28TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

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