Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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179
AXUS74 KLUB 261524
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-101530-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1024 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BRING SLOWLY
IMPROVING DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
AFTER WIDESPREAD RAINS BROUGHT MUCH NEEDED HEAVY RAINFALL AND SHORT
TERM DROUGHT RELIEF TO MANY PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS OVER
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...JUNE CONTINUED THIS TREND AS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF THUNDERSTORMS SWEPT ACROSS THE AREA.  AS OF JUNE 26TH...MOST OF
THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS RECEIVED 100 TO 150 PERCENT OF THE YEARLY
AVERAGE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL FOR THIS DATE...AND AS A RESULT...THIS
REGION HAS ALSO REALIZED THE MOST DRASTIC IMPROVEMENTS TO DROUGHT
CONDITIONS.  WHILE SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE MINIMAL AT THIS
STAGE AND THE OVERALL DROUGHT HAS BEEN LOWERED
SUBSTANTIALLY...CATEGORY 2 SEVERE DROUGHT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTH PLAINS DUE TO THE LINGERING LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS.
WIDESPREAD RAINS HAVE ALSO OCCURRED FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE ROLLING
PLAINS...HOWEVER...IN GENERAL RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY
LOWER IN THESE AREAS. IN ADDITION...YEARLY AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS
ARE TYPICALLY HIGHER IN AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK...AND AS A
RESULT...THIS REGION HAS ONLY SEEN BETWEEN 60 TO 90 PERCENT OF THE
AVERAGE RAINFALL TO DATE. AS A RESULT...WHILE SHORT TERM DROUGHT
CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED...THESE IMPROVEMENTS HAVE NOT BEEN AS
SIGNIFICANT AS IN AREAS FARTHER WEST. CATEGORY 3 EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS...WITH A SMALL
AREA OF PERSISTENT CATEGORY 4 DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN
COTTLE AND NORTHERN KING COUNTIES. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT
VERY RECENT HEAVY RAINS...WHICH OCCURRED WITHIN THE PAST THREE
DAYS ACROSS THE NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING
PLAINS...ARE NOT REFLECTED IN THE MOST RECENT DROUGHT MONITOR
PRODUCT.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
BENEFICIAL RAINS DURING THE LAST FOUR WEEKS HAVE IMPROVED FARMING
AND RANCHING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING
PLAINS...ALTHOUGH THEY WERE ALSO CAUSING SOME PROBLEMS. MOISTURE
HAS BEEN ABLE TO PENETRATE THE SOIL WITH SOME REPORTS OF MOISTURE
TO DEPTHS OF FOUR FEET WHICH WILL HELP ALLEVIATE THE NEED FOR SOME
SUPPLEMENTAL IRRIGATION DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS. THE SOIL
MOISTURE HAS ALSO ALLOWED FOR GOOD CONDITIONS TO REPLANT FIELDS
THAT WERE HAILED OUT OR WHERE BLOWING SAND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED
YOUNG CROPS. WARM-SEASON GRASSES WERE GROWING...AND THE QUALITY OF
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WAS IMPROVING. HOWEVER...STOCK-TANKS AND
LAKES ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS STILL NEED SIGNIFICANT RAINS FOR
THEM TO BE FILLED. PROBLEMS FROM HEAVY RAINS DURING THE LAST MONTH
INCLUDE SOME CROP DAMAGE DUE TO DISEASE FROM STANDING WATER...AN
INCREASE IN WEEDS...AND CROP FAILURE FROM HAIL AND WIND.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH LATE SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS...AND
ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR 11 OF THE
24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY WARNING
AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL WIND DOWN...RELATIVE TO WHAT HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST MONTH...INTO THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES WARM
WELL INTO THE 90S. HOWEVER...LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZES AND CONTINUED
GREENING WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER CONCERNS NEGLIGIBLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MUCH OF THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST MONTH
WITH SOME AREAS OBSERVING OVER 7 INCHES OF RAIN. MONTH TO DATE...THIS
WOULD PUT MANY AREAS ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE MONTH. THESE HEAVY
RAINS ALSO BROUGHT THE AREA FROM WELL BELOW AVERAGE TO NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE YEAR STARTING JANUARY 1ST. THESE
BENEFICIAL RAINS HAVE STALLED A CONTINUING DECREASE IN AREA
RESERVOIR LEVELS AND HAVE GREATLY BENEFITED AREA FARMERS. THE
ADDED MOISTURE HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR
THE MONTH WITH BOTH THE LUBBOCK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND THE
CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ONLY REPORTING 2 DAYS AT OR ABOVE 100
DEGREES. WHILE THE AREA IS STILL LISTED IN AT LEAST A SEVERE
DROUGHT...THESE RAINS HAVE LOWERED DROUGHT CATEGORIES FOR MOST
COUNTIES. COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT HAVE
BEEN UPGRADED TO SEVERE DROUGHT OR D2. COUNTIES EAST OF THE
CAPROCK ESCARPMENT EITHER REMAIN OR HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO
EXTREME DROUGHT OR D3 WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHERN COTTLE COUNTY
AND NORTHERN KING COUNTY WHERE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT OR D4 STILL
REMAIN.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF JUNE AND INTO THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF
JULY...CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION APPEAR TO BE LOW ON THE
SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS.  WHILE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY PRESENT THEMSELVES...THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT LIKELY TO
SUBSTANTIALLY IMPACT THE REGION OUTSIDE OF A FEW VERY LOCALIZED
AREAS.  THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO LIKELY YIELD SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD...ALTHOUGH LINGERING SURFACE
MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS WILL LIKELY MITIGATE THIS SOMEWHAT.
BEYOND THE FIRST FEW DAYS IN JULY...THE SIGNALS FOR PRECIPITATION
AND TEMPERATURE REMAIN RELATIVELY UNCLEAR. WHILE AN EL NINO
APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PACIFIC OCEAN...THIS IS
A MUCH BETTER INDICATOR OF COOL SEASON WET PATTERNS AS OPPOSED TO
SUMMER PATTERNS...AND DOES NOT OFFER MUCH CLARITY THROUGH THE
MONTH OF JULY. CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FORECASTS DO SUGGEST THAT
A MONSOONAL PATTERN IS SOMEWHAT LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
MOUNTAIN WEST...INCLUDING NEW MEXICO...WHICH WOULD INDICATE A
HIGHER PROBABILITY OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THESE
AREAS. UNFORTUNATELY THOUGH...IT IS UNCLEAR HOW MUCH OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT AREAS OF WEST TEXAS IF AT ALL.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS REPORTED SOME IMPROVEMENT WITH MACKENZIE LAKE SHOWING
THE GREATEST IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST MONTH WITH AN INCREASE OF
ALMOST 10 FEET. WHITE RIVER LAKE SAW LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A FOOT
INCREASE OVER THE PAST MONTH...BUT THIS DID BRING THE RESERVOIR
ABOVE 0 PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE
LAST SEPTEMBER.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JUNE 26TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3011.0 +9.7    61       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2340.5 +0.4    13       1
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2203.9 +0.5    61      61


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON JULY 31ST OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN
RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT
HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES... THE TEXAS
TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

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