Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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966
AXUS74 KLUB 311601
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-141600-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1100 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY IMPROVE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
A TREND OF WET WEATHER FROM MAY AND JUNE CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF JULY BUT DRIED OUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH. MOST
AREAS SAW AT OR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE SECOND AND THIRD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WAS
THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WHERE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WAS
OBSERVED. THIS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
MANY AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND ESPECIALLY
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. SEVERE DROUGHT OR CATEGORY
TWO CONTINUED TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS WHILE THE ROLLING
PLAINS MOSTLY SAW SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT OR CATEGORY THREE
CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF COTTLE AND KING COUNTIES REMAINED IN
EXCEPTIONAL OR CATEGORY FOUR DROUGHT. A LARGE IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CONDITIONS IMPROVED TO
CATEGORY ONE OR MODERATE DROUGHT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT OCCURRED ON THE SECOND AND
THIRD OF JULY WHICH BROUGHT BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN.
FOR THE YEAR...THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS SEEN PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 100
AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS
RECORDED NEARLY 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE ROLLING PLAINS CONTINUED
TO SHOW A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE WITH ANNUAL PRECIPITATION VALUES
BETWEEN 50 AND 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH ISOLATED AREAS NEAR NORMAL.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER THAT RETURNED DURING JULY CAUSED PRODUCERS
TO BEGIN IRRIGATING AGAIN. COTTON WAS SQUARING AND FRUITING...BUT
MOISTURE IS NEEDED FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE LACK OF MOISTURE
THIS MONTH HAD PUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MUCH OF THE COTTON CROP
BEHIND SCHEDULE...DESPITE THE NEEDED WARM TEMPERATURES. NO
SIGNIFICANT PEST OR FUNGAL INFESTATIONS WERE NOTED IN THE
COTTON...PEANUT... SORGHUM...AND CORN CROPS. PASTURES AND
RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION...AND AS A RESULT
LIVESTOCK WERE IN GOOD CONDITION. HOWEVER...FALL ARMYWORM FEEDING
WAS WIDESPREAD.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH MID SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME MODEST CURING OF GRASSES MAY HAVE
OCCURRED WITH THE RECENT HOT AND DRY SPELL. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY
WARNING AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK SMALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST...BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT BETTER RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THAT WEEK. REGARDLESS...
WINDS...TEMPERATURE...AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUGGEST
FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOST AREAS RECORDED NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LUBBOCK
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED 2.64 INCHES OF RAIN...0.79 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 79.2
DEGREES...0.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH...0.75 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 80.7 DEGREES...2.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SOME AREAS RECEIVED OVER THREE INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH THE HIGHEST REPORTED RAINFALL OCCURRING IN HART TX
WHICH WAS 5.35 INCHES AS REPORTED BY THE HART COOP OBSERVER.
DESPITE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED...LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN
MADE TO AREA DROUGHT CATEGORIES. NOTED IMPROVEMENTS ARE IN THE
NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH
WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D2 TO D1...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D3 TO D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE MONTH OF AUGUST
WITH MOIST GROUNDS AND A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF
AUGUST WITH TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING AT OR BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF AUGUST. PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE
MORE MIXED FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. NORTH AMERICAN MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL PERSIST BUT WILL LIKELY BE LESS PLENTIFUL WITH A WEAKER UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAY SEND A COLD FRONT
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WHICH MAY GARNER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THE FIRST WEEK IN AUGUST. PRECIPITATION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO APPEARS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST...BUT
REMAINS UNCLEAR ON HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE ON WEST
TEXAS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS DID SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT AT THE END OF JUNE AND THE
BEGINNING OF JULY...BUT WHITE RIVER LAKE WAS THE ONLY RESERVOIR TO
SHOW AN OVERALL IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF JULY WITH LAKE LEVELS
RISING NEARLY 2.5 FEET. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO RAIN NOT BEING AS WIDE
SPREAD DURING THE MONTH OF JULY AS IT WAS DURING JUNE AS WELL AS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MIDDLE OF
JULY. DESPITE THIS DRY PERIOD ALL RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO
PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JULY 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5 -0.5    60       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.9 +2.4    16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2202.7 -1.2    60      59

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 28TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
082
AXUS74 KLUB 311547
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-141600-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1047 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

...HEADLINE...

SYNOPSIS...
A TREND OF WET WEATHER FROM MAY AND JUNE CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF JULY BUT DRIED OUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH. MOST
AREAS SAW AT OR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE SECOND AND THIRD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WAS
THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WHERE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WAS
OBSERVED. THIS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
MANY AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND ESPECIALLY
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. SEVERE DROUGHT OR CATEGORY
TWO CONTINUED TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS WHILE THE ROLLING
PLAINS MOSTLY SAW SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT OR CATEGORY THREE
CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF COTTLE AND KING COUNTIES REMAINED IN
EXCEPTIONAL OR CATEGORY FOUR DROUGHT. A LARGE IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CONDITIONS IMPROVED TO
CATEGORY ONE OR MODERATE DROUGHT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT OCCURRED ON THE SECOND AND
THIRD OF JULY WHICH BROUGHT BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN.
FOR THE YEAR...THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS SEEN PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 100
AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS
RECORDED NEARLY 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE ROLLING PLAINS CONTINUED
TO SHOW A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE WITH ANNUAL PRECIPITATION VALUES
BETWEEN 50 AND 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH ISOLATED AREAS NEAR NORMAL.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER THAT RETURNED DURING JULY CAUSED PRODUCERS
TO BEGIN IRRIGATING AGAIN. COTTON WAS SQUARING AND FRUITING...BUT
MOISTURE IS NEEDED FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE LACK OF MOISTURE
THIS MONTH HAD PUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MUCH OF THE COTTON CROP
BEHIND SCHEDULE...DESPITE THE NEEDED WARM TEMPERATURES. NO
SIGNIFICANT PEST OR FUNGAL INFESTATIONS WERE NOTED IN THE
COTTON...PEANUT... SORGHUM...AND CORN CROPS. PASTURES AND
RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION...AND AS A RESULT
LIVESTOCK WERE IN GOOD CONDITION. HOWEVER...FALL ARMYWORM FEEDING
WAS WIDESPREAD.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH MID SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME MODEST CURING OF GRASSES MAY HAVE
OCCURRED WITH THE RECENT HOT AND DRY SPELL. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY
WARNING AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK SMALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST...BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT BETTER RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THAT WEEK. REGARDLESS...
WINDS...TEMPERATURE...AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUGGEST FIRE
DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOST AREAS RECORDED NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LUBBOCK
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED 2.64 INCHES OF RAIN...0.79 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 79.2
DEGREES...0.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH...0.75 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 80.7 DEGREES...2.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SOME AREAS RECEIVED OVER THREE INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH THE HIGHEST REPORTED RAINFALL OCCURRING IN HART TX
WHICH WAS 5.35 INCHES AS REPORTED BY THE HART COOP OBSERVER.
DESPITE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED...LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN
MADE TO AREA DROUGHT CATEGORIES. NOTED IMPROVEMENTS ARE IN THE
NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH
WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D2 TO D1...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D3 TO D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE MONTH OF AUGUST
WITH MOIST GROUNDS AND A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF
AUGUST WITH TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING AT OR BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF AUGUST. PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE
MORE MIXED FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. NORTH AMERICAN MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL PERSIST BUT WILL LIKELY BE LESS PLENTIFUL WITH A WEAKER UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAY SEND A COLD FRONT
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WHICH MAY GARNER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THE FIRST WEEK IN AUGUST. PRECIPITATION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO APPEARS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST...BUT
REMAINS UNCLEAR ON HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE ON WEST
TEXAS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS DID SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT AT THE END OF JUNE AND THE
BEGINNING OF JULY...BUT WHITE RIVER LAKE WAS THE ONLY RESERVOIR TO
SHOW AN OVERALL IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF JULY WITH LAKE LEVELS
RISING NEARLY 2.5 FEET. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO RAIN NOT BEING AS WIDE
SPREAD DURING THE MONTH OF JULY AS IT WAS DURING JUNE AS WELL AS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MIDDLE OF
JULY. DESPITE THIS DRY PERIOD ALL RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO
PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JULY 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5 -0.5    60       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.9 +2.4    16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2202.7 -1.2    60      59

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 28TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$
179
AXUS74 KLUB 261524
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-101530-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1024 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BRING SLOWLY
IMPROVING DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
AFTER WIDESPREAD RAINS BROUGHT MUCH NEEDED HEAVY RAINFALL AND SHORT
TERM DROUGHT RELIEF TO MANY PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS OVER
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...JUNE CONTINUED THIS TREND AS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF THUNDERSTORMS SWEPT ACROSS THE AREA.  AS OF JUNE 26TH...MOST OF
THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS RECEIVED 100 TO 150 PERCENT OF THE YEARLY
AVERAGE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL FOR THIS DATE...AND AS A RESULT...THIS
REGION HAS ALSO REALIZED THE MOST DRASTIC IMPROVEMENTS TO DROUGHT
CONDITIONS.  WHILE SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE MINIMAL AT THIS
STAGE AND THE OVERALL DROUGHT HAS BEEN LOWERED
SUBSTANTIALLY...CATEGORY 2 SEVERE DROUGHT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTH PLAINS DUE TO THE LINGERING LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS.
WIDESPREAD RAINS HAVE ALSO OCCURRED FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE ROLLING
PLAINS...HOWEVER...IN GENERAL RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY
LOWER IN THESE AREAS. IN ADDITION...YEARLY AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS
ARE TYPICALLY HIGHER IN AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK...AND AS A
RESULT...THIS REGION HAS ONLY SEEN BETWEEN 60 TO 90 PERCENT OF THE
AVERAGE RAINFALL TO DATE. AS A RESULT...WHILE SHORT TERM DROUGHT
CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED...THESE IMPROVEMENTS HAVE NOT BEEN AS
SIGNIFICANT AS IN AREAS FARTHER WEST. CATEGORY 3 EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS...WITH A SMALL
AREA OF PERSISTENT CATEGORY 4 DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN
COTTLE AND NORTHERN KING COUNTIES. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT
VERY RECENT HEAVY RAINS...WHICH OCCURRED WITHIN THE PAST THREE
DAYS ACROSS THE NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING
PLAINS...ARE NOT REFLECTED IN THE MOST RECENT DROUGHT MONITOR
PRODUCT.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
BENEFICIAL RAINS DURING THE LAST FOUR WEEKS HAVE IMPROVED FARMING
AND RANCHING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING
PLAINS...ALTHOUGH THEY WERE ALSO CAUSING SOME PROBLEMS. MOISTURE
HAS BEEN ABLE TO PENETRATE THE SOIL WITH SOME REPORTS OF MOISTURE
TO DEPTHS OF FOUR FEET WHICH WILL HELP ALLEVIATE THE NEED FOR SOME
SUPPLEMENTAL IRRIGATION DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS. THE SOIL
MOISTURE HAS ALSO ALLOWED FOR GOOD CONDITIONS TO REPLANT FIELDS
THAT WERE HAILED OUT OR WHERE BLOWING SAND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED
YOUNG CROPS. WARM-SEASON GRASSES WERE GROWING...AND THE QUALITY OF
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WAS IMPROVING. HOWEVER...STOCK-TANKS AND
LAKES ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS STILL NEED SIGNIFICANT RAINS FOR
THEM TO BE FILLED. PROBLEMS FROM HEAVY RAINS DURING THE LAST MONTH
INCLUDE SOME CROP DAMAGE DUE TO DISEASE FROM STANDING WATER...AN
INCREASE IN WEEDS...AND CROP FAILURE FROM HAIL AND WIND.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH LATE SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS...AND
ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR 11 OF THE
24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY WARNING
AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL WIND DOWN...RELATIVE TO WHAT HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST MONTH...INTO THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES WARM
WELL INTO THE 90S. HOWEVER...LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZES AND CONTINUED
GREENING WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER CONCERNS NEGLIGIBLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MUCH OF THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST MONTH
WITH SOME AREAS OBSERVING OVER 7 INCHES OF RAIN. MONTH TO DATE...THIS
WOULD PUT MANY AREAS ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE MONTH. THESE HEAVY
RAINS ALSO BROUGHT THE AREA FROM WELL BELOW AVERAGE TO NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE YEAR STARTING JANUARY 1ST. THESE
BENEFICIAL RAINS HAVE STALLED A CONTINUING DECREASE IN AREA
RESERVOIR LEVELS AND HAVE GREATLY BENEFITED AREA FARMERS. THE
ADDED MOISTURE HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR
THE MONTH WITH BOTH THE LUBBOCK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND THE
CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ONLY REPORTING 2 DAYS AT OR ABOVE 100
DEGREES. WHILE THE AREA IS STILL LISTED IN AT LEAST A SEVERE
DROUGHT...THESE RAINS HAVE LOWERED DROUGHT CATEGORIES FOR MOST
COUNTIES. COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT HAVE
BEEN UPGRADED TO SEVERE DROUGHT OR D2. COUNTIES EAST OF THE
CAPROCK ESCARPMENT EITHER REMAIN OR HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO
EXTREME DROUGHT OR D3 WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHERN COTTLE COUNTY
AND NORTHERN KING COUNTY WHERE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT OR D4 STILL
REMAIN.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF JUNE AND INTO THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF
JULY...CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION APPEAR TO BE LOW ON THE
SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS.  WHILE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY PRESENT THEMSELVES...THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT LIKELY TO
SUBSTANTIALLY IMPACT THE REGION OUTSIDE OF A FEW VERY LOCALIZED
AREAS.  THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO LIKELY YIELD SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD...ALTHOUGH LINGERING SURFACE
MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS WILL LIKELY MITIGATE THIS SOMEWHAT.
BEYOND THE FIRST FEW DAYS IN JULY...THE SIGNALS FOR PRECIPITATION
AND TEMPERATURE REMAIN RELATIVELY UNCLEAR. WHILE AN EL NINO
APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PACIFIC OCEAN...THIS IS
A MUCH BETTER INDICATOR OF COOL SEASON WET PATTERNS AS OPPOSED TO
SUMMER PATTERNS...AND DOES NOT OFFER MUCH CLARITY THROUGH THE
MONTH OF JULY. CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FORECASTS DO SUGGEST THAT
A MONSOONAL PATTERN IS SOMEWHAT LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
MOUNTAIN WEST...INCLUDING NEW MEXICO...WHICH WOULD INDICATE A
HIGHER PROBABILITY OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THESE
AREAS. UNFORTUNATELY THOUGH...IT IS UNCLEAR HOW MUCH OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT AREAS OF WEST TEXAS IF AT ALL.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS REPORTED SOME IMPROVEMENT WITH MACKENZIE LAKE SHOWING
THE GREATEST IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST MONTH WITH AN INCREASE OF
ALMOST 10 FEET. WHITE RIVER LAKE SAW LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A FOOT
INCREASE OVER THE PAST MONTH...BUT THIS DID BRING THE RESERVOIR
ABOVE 0 PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE
LAST SEPTEMBER.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JUNE 26TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3011.0 +9.7    61       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2340.5 +0.4    13       1
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2203.9 +0.5    61      61


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON JULY 31ST OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN
RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT
HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES... THE TEXAS
TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

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