Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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720
AXUS74 KLUB 311501
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-091515-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...A DRIER AND WARMER THAN NORMAL OCTOBER SUSTAINS DROUGHT
CONDITIONS IN THE ROLLING PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE...

SYNOPSIS...
AFTER AN UNUSUALLY WET SEPTEMBER...THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS
CHARACTERIZED BY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH BELOW AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION. BRIEF UNSETTLED PERIODS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE
MONTH RESULTED IN MUCH OF THE MONTHLY RAINFALL FOR THE ROLLING
PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE. THE GREATEST TOTAL PRECIPITATION OF
JUST OVER 1.5 INCHES OCCURRED IN THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS WITH AS
LITTLE AS 1/3 OF AN INCH MEASURED FARTHER NORTH AT CHILDRESS. THESE
AMOUNTS ARE 1 TO NEARLY 2 INCHES BELOW AVERAGE...RESPECTIVELY. THE
LATEST DROUGHT CATEGORIES REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED SINCE LATE
SEPTEMBER WITH MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CATEGORIES PERSISTING FROM
THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE INTO THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS.  EXCEPTIONAL
DROUGHT LEVELS REMAINED ACROSS SOUTHEAST COTTLE COUNTY.

.AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...PREPARATIONS WERE UNDERWAY FOR THE FALL
COTTON HARVEST.  COOL TEMPERATURES SLOWED THE MATURATION OF COTTON
BUT A WARM TEMPERATURES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LAST WEEK OF OCTOBER
HAVE HELPED THE PROCESS ALONG.  COTTON FARMERS WERE SPRAYING COTTON
TO AID IN DEFOLIATION WHERE POSSIBLE AND SEVERAL COUNTIES ALREADY
HAD COTTON HARVESTING UNDERWAY.  CORN AND SORGHUM HARVESTS WERE PUT
ON HOLD IN SOME AREAS TO ALLOW FOR THE COTTON HARVEST TO BE
COMPLETED.  SPOTTY RAINFALL HAS HELPED WITH WINTER WHEAT SPROUTING
BUT OTHER AREAS NEEDED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO HELP WITH GERMINATION.

ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS...WINTER WHEAT WAS IN GOOD CONDITION WHERE
RAINFALL WAS RECEIVED BUT OTHER AREAS NEEDED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR
GERMINATION TO OCCUR.  CATTLE WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION WITH
RANCHERS TAKING ADVANTAGE OF HIGHER PRICES TO WEAN CALVES AND REDUCE
THE NUMBER OF LIVESTOCK ON GRAZING PASTURES FOR THE WINTER.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WAS STILL NEEDED TO REFILL STOCK TANKS AND
SURFACE WATER SUPPLIES.  FAVORABLE WEATHER HAS ALLOWED FOR COTTON
FARMERS TO PREPARE THE CROP FOR HARVEST...PEANUT HARVESTING WAS
UNDERWAY...AND PECAN HARVESTING WAS ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
ABOVE NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THOUGH
THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE ARE
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.  ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES ARE
GENERALLY IN THE 40S.  THESE VALUES ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR THESE
LEVELS THROUGH NOVEMBER.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
TEMPERATURES FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WERE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
HAVING A STRING OF NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES DURING
THE LAST WEEK OF OCTOBER. THE CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT REPORTED
AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 68 DEGREES WHICH IS 4.7 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. OCTOBER ALSO PROVED TO BE A DRY MONTH...MAINLY FOR THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS...WITH THE CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT REPORTING 0.32 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE OCTOBER FIRST WHICH IS
1.87 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. AREAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ROLLING PLAINS
RECEIVED MUCH MORE RAIN OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS. THE NWS COOP OBSERVER
IN ASPERMONT REPORTED 1.53 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE OCTOBER 1ST.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE BY LATE THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES FROM
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT PLAINS. THIS INCREASE IN
MOISTURE WILL KEEP DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SWINGS ON THE LOW SIDE WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE AND HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL. DRIER CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD
ENSUE BY THE END OF THE FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER AS ZONAL FLOW
MATERIALIZES ALOFT. OVERALL...COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WINTER COINCIDENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
WEAK EL NINO IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL AREA RESERVOIRS SAW A DECLINE IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE PAST
MONTH DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS. THE AVERAGE DECLINE WAS 0.6 FEET. WHILE
THERE WAS A DECLINE AT ALL RESERVOIRS.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON OCTOBER 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION  POOL  4-WEEK MAXIMUM    PERCENT OF
                          POOL TODAY  CHANGE   DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                              (FEET)      CAPACITY

MACKENZIE LAKE             3100 3009.9  -0.5      60             7
WHITE RIVER LAKE           2370 2343.6  -0.7      17             5
LAKE ALAN HENRY            2220 2210.4  -0.5      67            75

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON NOVEMBER 27TH /THANKSGIVING DAY/ OR
SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

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