737 AXUS74 KLUB 061818 DGTLUB TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269- 279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-201830- DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 118 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2013 ...MOST AREAS SEE LITTLE RELIEF TO THE DROUGHT THROUGH THE PEAK WET SEASON... SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS DROUGHT STATEMENT WRITTEN ON MAY 24TH. EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR ALMOST THE ENTIRETY OF THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. MUCH OF THE AREA RECEIVED BETWEEN 0.75 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL BETWEEN MAY 24TH AND JUNE 5TH...WITH MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS FARING BETTER AND POCKETS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS FARING WORSE. IN PARTICULAR AREAS FROM DIMMITT AND TULIA SOUTHWARD TO PLAINVIEW AND FLOYDADA RECEIVED LESS THAN 0.50 INCH OF RAIN IN THAT PERIOD. GIVEN THAT WE HAVE ENTERED THE AREA OF PEAK CLIMATOLOGICAL RAINFALL THESE TOTALS MOSTLY REPRESENT RAINFALL TYPICALLY RECEIVED THIS TIME OF YEAR. AS A RESULT...WHILE SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED...NO SIGNIFICANT DENT HAS BEEN MADE TO EITHER SHORT TERM OR LONG TERM DEFICITS...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS WHERE SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS. AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... RAINFALL WAS DESPERATELY NEEDED FOR AREA FIELDS AND RANGELANDS. RANGELANDS WERE IN POOR CONDITIONS WITH RANCHERS SHIPPING CATTLE OFF TO BETTER PASTURES. CORN THAT HAD BEEN PLANTED WAS IN GOOD CONDITION. WHEAT CROPS WERE NEARLY A TOTAL LOSS AND THE WHEAT THAT REMAINED WAS IN POOR TO VERY POOR CONDITION. MOST WHEAT WAS BEING HARVESTED FOR HAY AND SOME REMAINING WHEAT WAS DESTROYED DUE TO HAIL. PLANTING OF COTTON WAS ONGOING AND SOME CROP WAS ALREADY EMERGING IN EARLY JUNE. IRRIGATED COTTON WAS GENERALLY IN FAIR CONDITION BUT SOME COTTON ALREADY HAD TO BE CRUST-BUSTED. ADDITIONALLY...SOME EARLY EMERGING COTTON HAD TO BE REPLANTED DUE TO HAIL DAMAGE. CLIMATE SUMMARY... NEUTRAL ENSO CONDITIONS PERSIST...ALTHOUGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY IN RECENT WEEKS. TYPICALLY... ENSO-NEUTRAL AND LA NINA CONDITIONS LEAD TO WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST TEXAS...AND THIS HAS LARGELY BEEN BORNE OUT WITH A FEW EXCEPTIONS. AREAS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS EXPERIENCED SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST WEEK OF MAY...ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN...ON THE ORDER OF 2-4 INCHES...OCCURRED MAINLY OVER LIMITED AREAS OF STONEWALL AND KENT COUNTIES. A FEW AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS ALSO RECEIVED SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL...BUT UNFORTUNATELY MOST OF THE SOUTH PLAINS REMAINS BELOW NORMAL FOR MAY DURING A CRITICAL PERIOD FOR AREA FARMERS. MORE RECENTLY...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS OF JUNE 5TH...AND WHILE UNFORTUNATELY THESE STORMS BROUGHT DAMAGING WINDS TO THE CITY OF LUBBOCK AND SURROUNDING AREAS...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FELL ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. THE ROLLING PLAINS SAW THE HIGHEST TOTALS...WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES AND EVEN A FEW LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS. FARTHER WEST RAIN TOTALS WERE LIGHTER...ALTHOUGH AREAS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS SAW TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. WHILE THIS WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN THE LATEST DROUGHT MAP UPDATE...THESE RAINS WILL BE VERY BENEFICIAL FOR AREA FARMERS AND RANCHERS. HOWEVER...BECAUSE MAY IS TYPICALLY THE RAINIEST TIME OF YEAR FOR WEST TEXAS...ONLY MARGINAL IMPROVEMENT TO LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS ARE EXPECTED FROM THESE RAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS...WHILE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTH PLAINS. FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS... LACK OF PRECIPITATION AND DRY...WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE PROVIDED SEVERAL DAYS WITH ELEVATED TO SHORT LIVED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAYS DURING LATE MAY AND EARLY JUNE. NO WILDFIRES HAVE DEVELOPED DURING THESE CONDITIONS HOWEVER AS FUELS REMAIN SCARCE DUE TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT PROVIDING LITTLE PRECIPITATION TO AID IN BRUSH GROWTH. DESPITE LACK OF FUEL GROWTH...THE THREAT OF WILDFIRE DEVELOPMENT EXISTS DUE TO THE DRY NATURE OF THE FUELS THAT ARE PRESENT. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... AFTER A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EARLY PORTIONS OF THIS WEEKEND...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ENSUE AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT PLAINS. THIS LOOKS TO BE THE RULE EXTENDING INTO THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS AS WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TENDS TO BE LIMITED IN THE SUMMER MONTHS. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND PROPAGATION OF THE DRYLINE...BUT THEY WILL LIKELY BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN FOR MANY LOCATIONS. HOPEFULLY THE EARLY ACTIVITY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL EQUATE TO AN ACTIVE TROPICAL SEASON TO INCREASE MOISTURE AMOUNTS ACROSS WEST TEXAS. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... AREA RESERVOIRS CONTINUED TO DECLINE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF MAY INTO THE FIRST FEW DAYS IN JUNE. THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON 5 JUNE: RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 24-HR MAXIMUM PERCENT OF RAIN POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH CONSERVATION (FEET) CAPACITY MACKENZIE LAKE 3100 3005.4 -0.04 55 7 0.00 WHITE RIVER LAKE 2370 2340.4 -0.05 13 0 0.00 LAKE ALAN HENRY 2220 2207.0 -0.05 64 68 0.00 LAKE MEREDITH 2936 2840.1 -0.02 27.1 -11 0.00 NEXT ISSUANCE DATE... THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON JUNE 20TH OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS. && RELATED WEB SITES... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML NOAA DROUGHT PAGE: HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/ OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST: HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS PRECIPITATION: HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/ USGS: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/ USACE: HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/ CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/ USDA: HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/ TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT: HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER... THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES... THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100 LUBBOCK TEXAS 79423 PHONE: 806-745-4260 SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV $$