Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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496
FXUS64 KLUB 052336
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
536 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA FOR
MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY LATE
AS UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA BEGINS TO MOVE EASTWARD WITH
THE MAIN FLOW.  ALL IN ALL...QUITE PLEASANT CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE ON THE CHILLY
SIDE THOUGH WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST HIGH ENOUGH TO PREVENT
TEMPS FROM DROPPING TOO FAR.  A NICE REBOUND TO TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 MOST LOCATIONS.

LONG TERM...
THE LONG TERM FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN LARGELY
UNEVENTFUL. THERE MAY BE A BIT OF A SHIFT FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ON SUNDAY. A CLOSED LOW SITTING OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
WILL OPEN UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN US. ALTHOUGH
WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY BY THE TIME IT GETS TO WEST TEXAS...IT SHOWS
UP AS A SHARPER TROUGH THAN IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. MUCH OF THE LIFT
WILL BE CONCENTRATED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK. THERE WILL BE NOTABLE INCREASE IN MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK.
BEST CASE SCENARIO AT THE MOMENT IS THAT THE ROLLING PLAINS WILL
RECEIVE A QUICK CHANCE AT SOME LIGHT RAIN ON SUNDAY BUT NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE A SLOW WARMING TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEK
UNDER SPLIT FLOW ALOFT. WEST TEXAS WILL BE UNDER GENERAL TROUGHINESS
KEEPING THE WARMUP FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        41  20  53  24 /   0   0   0   0
TULIA         40  19  52  24 /   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     40  19  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     40  21  51  26 /   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       40  19  50  27 /   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   40  21  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    40  22  50  27 /   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     42  21  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
SPUR          40  22  51  28 /   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     41  23  54  28 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

31

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